Jefferies raises CAE stock price target to $30 on training data analysis

Published 21/07/2025, 20:52
Jefferies raises CAE stock price target to $30 on training data analysis

Investing.com - Jefferies raised its price target on CAE Inc . (NYSE:CAE) to $30.00 from $28.00 on Monday, while maintaining a Hold rating on the flight simulator and training company’s stock. According to InvestingPro data, CAE (TSX:CAE) is trading near its 52-week high of $30.13, having delivered an impressive 57.55% return over the past year.

The price target increase comes despite Jefferies’ analysis of foot traffic data at CAE’s U.S. training centers, which showed a 4% year-over-year decline for the April-June period at nine civil aviation facilities.

Based on this data, Jefferies estimates simulator utilization at approximately 72% for CAE’s first fiscal quarter of 2026, which is below the firm’s previous estimate of 73% and represents a 5 percentage point decrease from the same period last year.

The foot traffic analysis suggests CAE may report earnings per share of $0.18 for the quarter, falling short of Jefferies’ estimate of $0.19 and the consensus expectation of $0.20.

Jefferies noted that potential stronger international utilization could offset the weaker U.S. training center performance observed in their tracking data.

In other recent news, CAE Inc. has announced significant leadership changes, with Matthew Bromberg set to become the new President and CEO on August 13, 2025, following Marc Parent’s departure. Calin Rovinescu will assume the role of Executive Chairman, and Sophie Brochu will step in as Lead Independent (LON:IOG) Director. In financial developments, BMO Capital raised its price target for CAE to C$50, maintaining an Outperform rating, citing a strategic framework for valuation improvement under the new leadership. Meanwhile, RBC Capital increased its price target to Cdn$41, aligning its fiscal 2025 EBITDA projection at $1,245 million, slightly above consensus estimates. Jefferies also raised its price target to $28, highlighting CAE’s dominant market share and long-term demand for pilot training. Goldman Sachs initiated coverage with a Buy rating and a price target of $33, emphasizing CAE’s undervaluation and its promising management transition. These updates reflect CAE’s ongoing strategic efforts and market positioning in the aviation and defense sectors.

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