JMP cuts Offerpad Solutions stock target to $3, retains outlook

Published 16/04/2025, 10:12
JMP cuts Offerpad Solutions stock target to $3, retains outlook

The new price target of $3.00 is derived from an enterprise value to estimated 2026 gross profit multiple of approximately 0.7x, a decrease from the previous multiple of 1.0x. Jones maintains the Market Outperform rating, indicating confidence in Offerpad’s future performance despite the current headwinds. According to InvestingPro data, the stock generally trades with high price volatility, which could present opportunities for investors monitoring the company’s turnaround efforts. According to InvestingPro data, the stock generally trades with high price volatility, which could present opportunities for investors monitoring the company’s turnaround efforts.

Offerpad’s stock has seen a significant drop intra-quarter, falling around 32%. The company’s shares have declined 79.5% over the past year, with a 49.1% drop year-to-date. This downturn is partly attributed to increased macroeconomic and industry uncertainty, which has been exacerbated by the tariff policies of the current administration. Comparable to its peer Opendoor Technologies (NASDAQ:OPEN), Offerpad is expected to experience more moderate market share gains in the near term as transaction volumes continue to face challenges.Get deeper insights into OPAD’s performance with InvestingPro, which offers 15+ additional exclusive tips and comprehensive financial analysis.

Despite the recent performance and market conditions, Jones believes that Offerpad is in a strong position for sustained growth as the industry conditions begin to improve. The company maintains a healthy current ratio of 1.17, though its gross profit margin remains challenging at 7.86%. This optimism is based on the company’s continuous efforts to improve its cost structure, which could contribute to its long-term success.

The new price target of $3.00 is derived from an enterprise value to estimated 2026 gross profit multiple of approximately 0.7x, a decrease from the previous multiple of 1.0x. Jones maintains the Market Outperform rating, indicating confidence in Offerpad’s future performance despite the current headwinds.

In other recent news, Offerpad Solutions Inc. reported its fourth-quarter 2024 earnings, revealing revenue of $174 million, which was at the upper end of its guidance range. Despite this, the company experienced a net loss of $17.3 million for the quarter, though this was a 12% improvement year-over-year. Full-year revenue for 2024 stood at $919 million, marking a 30% decrease from the previous year. In response to these financial results, Keefe, Bruyette & Woods adjusted Offerpad’s price target down to $2.25 from $3.15, while maintaining a Market Perform rating. This decision came after Offerpad’s earnings report showed GAAP EPS and Adjusted EBITDA falling short of expectations.

Meanwhile, JMP Securities reaffirmed a Market Outperform rating for Offerpad, maintaining a $4.50 price target. The firm expressed optimism about Offerpad’s efforts to refine its cost structure and expand its asset-light services, which are expected to improve revenue and profit margins. Offerpad has communicated plans to increase property purchases through 2025, aiming for near breakeven EBITDA by year-end. However, Keefe, Bruyette & Woods expressed caution regarding Offerpad’s access to capital and the associated costs. Offerpad’s management remains focused on improving cost efficiency and expanding its asset-light services, which accounted for 33% of the company’s contribution profit after interest in the fourth quarter.

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