JMP maintains $55 target on Gaming and Leisure stock

Published 25/02/2025, 11:02
JMP maintains $55 target on Gaming and Leisure stock

On Tuesday, JMP Securities analyst Mitch Germain maintained a Market Outperform rating for Gaming and Leisure Properties Inc. (NASDAQ:GLPI) with a steady price target of $55.00. Germain highlighted the company’s recent guidance update for 2025, which has been well-received by investors. The guidance supports a potential reduction in the variation of analyst estimates. According to InvestingPro data, GLPI maintains an impressive financial health score of "GREAT," with the stock trading near its 52-week high of $52.59. Analysis from InvestingPro suggests the stock is currently undervalued.

Gaming and Leisure’s management has outlined several loan and development commitments that are anticipated to provide a consistent stream of revenue. The company is seen to face minimal headwinds in terms of funding. Key future growth drivers include the possibility of joining a consortium chosen for the New York downstate casino license and the activation of Bally’s Lincoln call right, valued at $735 million with an 8.0% yield. Furthermore, the company is expected to continue sourcing additional investments, leveraging its existing relationships and track record. InvestingPro data reveals the company’s exceptional gross profit margin of 94.45% and strong liquidity position with a current ratio of 3.25, supporting its growth initiatives.

Germain also noted that Gaming and Leisure presents an attractive investment opportunity, with a robust and growing revenue stream. The company’s strategy for accretive deployment of capital is seen as a complement to its strong financial foundation. Despite the ongoing volatility in the financing market, the balance sheet of Gaming and Leisure is well-prepared for growth.

Shares of Gaming and Leisure are currently trading at a discount compared to the broader net-lease sector, at 12.6 times the estimated 2025 adjusted funds from operations per share. However, with the company’s history of full rent collection through various economic cycles, low leverage, and inherent growth potential, JMP Securities argues that a premium valuation is justified.

In other recent news, Gaming & Leisure Properties (GLPI) reported its fourth-quarter 2024 earnings, surpassing analysts’ expectations with an earnings per share (EPS) of $0.79, higher than the projected $0.73. However, the company’s revenue fell short of expectations, coming in at $389.6 million against a forecast of $391.56 million. Despite this revenue miss, the company plans to allocate $400 million for development funding in 2025, emphasizing opportunities in tribal gaming and sale-leaseback transactions. Additionally, GLPI has announced an $850 million bond redemption planned for March 2025. Analyst firms have not reported any recent upgrades or downgrades for the company. GLPI continues to strengthen its financial position with strategic acquisitions and loans, resulting in a $22 million increase in cash rent. The company maintains a focus on gaming real estate opportunities, with plans to expand into tribal gaming partnerships.

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