JMP raises Amazon stock price target to $250 on solid results

Published 02/05/2025, 11:40
© Reuters.

On Friday, JMP Securities analyst Nicholas Jones lifted the price target for Amazon.com stock (NASDAQ:AMZN) to $250 from $240, while reiterating a Market Outperform rating. According to InvestingPro data, analyst consensus remains highly bullish with targets ranging from $195 to $287, suggesting potential upside from current levels. The stock, currently trading at a P/E ratio of 33.7x, shows signs of being slightly undervalued based on InvestingPro’s Fair Value analysis. The adjustment came after Amazon reported strong top-line results, with its operating income and margin surpassing expectations, primarily due to the impressive performance of Amazon Web Services (AWS) Operating Income Margin (OIM).

Amazon’s net sales guidance for the second quarter matched consensus estimates, although its operating income and margin projections were not as optimistic. The company anticipates that costs associated with Project Kuiper and an annual increase in Share-Based Compensation (SBC) will impact the second quarter’s OIM. Amazon will continue to expense Project Kuiper costs until it achieves commercial viability, which is expected around 2026, despite the service’s launch slated for later this year.

The retail giant’s core business demonstrated resilience, with notable growth in everyday essentials and groceries. With revenue reaching $638 billion in the last twelve months and showing an 11% year-over-year growth, Amazon continues to strengthen its position as a prominent player in the Broadline Retail industry. Amid uncertainties related to tariffs, Amazon is concentrating on enhancing the customer experience and offering a wide array of products at competitive prices. InvestingPro subscribers can access detailed financial health metrics, which currently show a "GOOD" overall rating for Amazon, particularly strong in profitability and growth scores. This customer-centric strategy has historically enabled Amazon to capture greater market share during uncertain times, and the company expects a similar outcome in the current climate.

The advertising segment of Amazon’s business also showed robust performance, with strengths visible throughout the entire sales funnel. While AWS’s year-over-year growth of 16.9% was slightly below expectations, Amazon’s management emphasized that demand remains vigorous. They also noted that growth would have been higher without the current capacity constraints, which are expected to improve in the second half of 2025.

In conclusion, JMP Securities believes that Amazon’s recent performance and strategic focus do not alter its investment thesis. The company’s robust financial position is reflected in its healthy return on equity of 24% and strong gross profit margin of 48.9%. For deeper insights into Amazon’s valuation and growth prospects, investors can access the comprehensive Pro Research Report available on InvestingPro, which includes detailed analysis of the company’s competitive position and future outlook. The firm remains confident that Amazon’s stronghold in consumer staples, strong advertising business, and cloud services with AI capabilities will continue to propel market share gains across its various segments, irrespective of macroeconomic conditions. The new price target reflects these sentiments, as well as an expansion in the peer group multiple.

In other recent news, Amazon.com reported its first-quarter earnings, revealing a mix of achievements and challenges. The company exceeded expectations with its earnings per share and reported a steady 10% year-over-year revenue growth. However, Amazon provided a softer operating income guidance for the second quarter, which was slightly below analysts’ predictions. Amazon Web Services (AWS) showed a consistent 17% year-over-year revenue growth, but its performance was below the anticipated acceleration compared to Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) Azure.

Several analyst firms have adjusted their price targets for Amazon following these results. Evercore ISI lowered its target to $260, maintaining an Outperform rating, while Stifel reduced its target to $245 but kept a Buy rating. BofA Securities increased its target to $230, also with a Buy rating, citing stable performance and potential growth. Goldman Sachs maintained its Buy rating with a $220 target, expressing a long-term positive outlook.

Amazon’s focus on long-term growth initiatives and its diverse product mix are seen as strengths amidst a challenging business climate. The company’s North American margins appeared weak, but analysts noted that adjustments for inventory pull-forwards might improve the outlook. Despite near-term headwinds, analysts remain optimistic about Amazon’s future performance, particularly in the AWS segment.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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