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Investing.com - JPMorgan downgraded Glencore Plc (LON:GLEN) from Overweight to Neutral on Thursday, while raising its price target to GBP4.00 from GBP3.70.
The downgrade comes despite Glencore stock rising 55% over the past six months, with JPMorgan citing significant uncertainty and risk for the company in the coming months.
JPMorgan highlighted that Glencore needs approximately a 50% increase in copper output in Q3/Q4 to achieve the bottom of its 2025 copper guidance range of 850-890kt, creating "materially higher event risk" for the company’s Q3 report scheduled for October 29.
The investment bank also placed Glencore on Negative Catalyst Watch ahead of the company’s first Capital Markets Day since 2023, which will take place on December 3.
JPMorgan expects Glencore to announce higher long-term capital expenditure guidance at this event as the company advances with approximately $13 billion of greenfield copper projects in Argentina, potentially constraining excess capital distributions in the medium to long term.
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