JPMorgan downgrades Roper stock to Underweight on growth concerns

Published 15/10/2025, 09:26
JPMorgan downgrades Roper stock to Underweight on growth concerns

Investing.com - JPMorgan has downgraded Roper Industries (NASDAQ:ROP) from Neutral to Underweight and lowered its price target to $541.00 from $577.00. The stock, currently trading near its 52-week low at $513.82, maintains a "GOOD" financial health score according to InvestingPro data, despite trading at a relatively high P/E ratio of 36.15x.

The downgrade comes as JPMorgan forecasts earnings estimates below consensus, projecting figures that are 0% below Street expectations for 2026 and 3% below for 2027. The firm notes that Roper stock has remained flat year-to-date after experiencing significant de-rating despite previously being viewed as a safe haven for US-centric defensive exposure. Worth noting, the company has maintained dividend payments for 34 consecutive years, with a current yield of 0.64%.

While acknowledging Roper’s positive cash flow story and sector-leading free cash flow margin, JPMorgan expressed concerns about the company’s ability to drive earnings per share growth. The firm believes Roper is not utilizing capital efficiently to generate growth, resulting in below-average EPS growth and return on invested capital.

JPMorgan also raised concerns about Roper’s artificial intelligence capabilities, suggesting its decentralized business model makes it difficult to develop integrated AI products that deliver high customer return on investment. The firm indicated Roper may be sensitive to disruption as software markets mature and horizontal companies increasingly target vertical markets.

The research note highlighted that Roper’s recent growth has been driven by TEP, where backlog is normalizing, creating potential risk to the company’s top line as software becomes increasingly commoditized. JPMorgan forecasts 5.7% and 5.0% organic growth for 2026 and 2027, respectively, compared to Street expectations of 6.5% and 6.2%. InvestingPro data shows current revenue growth at 13.59%, with 12 additional exclusive insights available to subscribers through their comprehensive Pro Research Report.

In other recent news, Roper Technologies has completed a $2 billion offering of senior unsecured notes, consisting of $500 million of 4.250% Senior Notes due 2028, $500 million of 4.450% Senior Notes due 2030, and $1 billion of 5.100% Senior Notes due 2035. The notes were issued under an agreement with BofA Securities, J.P. Morgan Securities, and Wells Fargo Securities, with interest payable semi-annually starting March 15, 2026. In a separate development, Aderant announced its acquisition of HerculesAI’s legal tech assets, aiming to enhance its AI capabilities and improve law firm operations through automation. Meanwhile, DAT Freight & Analytics agreed to acquire the Convoy Platform from Flexport, adding automation and digital freight-matching technology to its offerings. Additionally, Procare Solutions appointed Sam Loveland as Chief Customer Officer, focusing on enhancing customer experience and optimizing the use of its solutions. These developments highlight significant strategic moves by the companies involved.

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