JPMorgan downgrades RTL Group stock to Neutral on valuation concerns

Published 10/07/2025, 09:52
JPMorgan downgrades RTL Group stock to Neutral on valuation concerns

Investing.com - JPMorgan downgraded RTL Group SA (XETRA:ETR:RRTL) (OTC:RGLXY) from Overweight to Neutral on Thursday, while lowering its price target to EUR40.00 from EUR43.00. InvestingPro data shows the stock’s RSI indicates overbought conditions, supporting JPMorgan’s cautious stance.

The downgrade comes after RTL shares have climbed nearly 50% year-to-date, pushing the company’s valuation to approximately 9 times its 2026 estimated NOPAT compared to 7 times for its peers, according to JPMorgan. The stock currently trades at an EV/EBITDA multiple of 9.84x and offers a notable dividend yield of 4.94%, according to InvestingPro data.

The stock jumped more than 15% following RTL’s recent announcement of plans to acquire Sky Deutschland (SkyD), with investors responding positively to potential cost savings and synergies from combining SkyD with RTL’s free-to-air assets and RTL+ streaming service.

JPMorgan acknowledged that RTL might be a better owner for SkyD than Comcast (NASDAQ:CMCSA), with in-market synergies potentially offsetting lost international benefits, and noted that the targeted €250 million in savings and synergies could be worth €2 billion.

The investment bank expressed concern that SkyD’s acquisition would reduce the quality of RTL’s business, making it vulnerable to 3-4 year rights renewal cycles and the prospect of either losing valuable content rights or paying premium prices to retain them.

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