JPMorgan downgrades Tupy stock to Underweight on weak truck market

Published 19/09/2025, 11:34
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Investing.com - JPMorgan has downgraded Tupy SA (BVMF:TUPY3) from Neutral to Underweight and reduced its price target to R$16.00 from R$22.00, citing weakness in the North American truck market.

The North American truck market, which represents approximately 25% of Tupy’s revenues according to JPMorgan estimates, has resulted in lower operational leverage and weak margins for the Brazilian auto parts manufacturer.

JPMorgan expects margins to continue being impacted by lower operational leverage and costs related to capacity reduction in the second half of the year, leading the bank to cut its 2025 net income forecast for Tupy by 79%.

The Brazilian real appreciation is also pressuring Tupy’s top-line growth and margins, creating additional headwinds for the company’s financial performance.

While Tupy has been developing new growth avenues such as distribution business and energy & decarbonization initiatives, these segments currently represent only about 15% of revenues and are not expected to offset weakness in the company’s core segment, according to JPMorgan.

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