JPMorgan maintains TJX stock Overweight with $130 target

Published 21/05/2025, 18:22
JPMorgan maintains TJX stock Overweight with $130 target

On Wednesday, JPMorgan analyst Matthew Boss reaffirmed a positive outlook on The TJX Companies (NYSE:TJX), a prominent player in the Specialty Retail industry with a market capitalization of $146.63 billion, with an Overweight stock rating and a price target of $130.00. According to InvestingPro data, TJX maintains a "GREAT" financial health score and is currently trading near its 52-week high of $135.85. Boss’s assessment followed TJX’s first-quarter earnings report, where the company posted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.92, slightly above both the consensus estimate of $0.91 and the management’s guidance of $0.87 to $0.89. The results were buoyed by a 3% increase in same-store sales, aligning with the high end of management’s 2-3% growth projection and matching analysts’ expectations.

The company’s pre-tax margin decreased by 90 basis points year-over-year to 10.3%, which was consistent with analyst predictions and surpassed management’s guidance of 10.0-10.1%. This margin performance was influenced by a better-than-expected selling, general, and administrative (SG&A) expense ratio, which improved by 20 basis points to 19.4% of sales, below the anticipated 20.0%. However, this was partially offset by a gross profit margin (GPM) contraction of 50 basis points to 29.5%, which fell short of management’s forecast range of 29.8-29.9%, primarily due to unfavorable mark-to-market adjustments on inventory hedges.

Looking forward, TJX management reiterated its fiscal year 2026 EPS guidance of $4.34 to $4.43, which is slightly below the consensus estimate of $4.50. This outlook is based on an anticipated 2-3% growth in same-store sales, consistent with prior projections, and pre-tax margins of 11.3-11.4%, which also remains unchanged from previous guidance. These projections include an approximately 20 basis point impact from foreign exchange headwinds. Management expects to maintain pre-tax margins flat to a 10 basis point increase on a constant-currency basis, assuming a 2-3% rise in comparable store sales, which is above the historical trend for TJX.

Regarding tariffs, TJX’s management indicated that the fiscal year 2026 and second-quarter guidance assumes that tariffs as of May 21st will remain unchanged for the rest of the year. The company also plans to counterbalance the significant ongoing pressure from tariffs that it has experienced and anticipates throughout the year. With strong revenue of $56.36 billion and a solid gross profit margin of 30.6%, TJX demonstrates robust operational efficiency despite these challenges. For deeper insights into TJX’s financial metrics and future growth potential, investors can access the detailed Pro Research Report available on InvestingPro.

In other recent news, TJX Companies Inc. reported its financial results for the first quarter of 2025, with earnings per share (EPS) reaching $0.92, surpassing analysts’ expectations of $0.91. The company’s revenue came in at $13.1 billion, slightly above the forecast of $13 billion. Despite these positive results, the stock saw a decline in pre-market trading, reflecting investor concerns over increased inventory levels and margin compression. The company maintained its full-year guidance, projecting a 2-3% increase in comparable sales and a full-year EPS range of $4.34 to $4.43. Notably, the HomeGoods division showed robust performance with a 4% growth in comparable sales. Analysts have not issued any recent upgrades or downgrades for TJX, but firms like Bank of America and JPMorgan were active in discussions about the company’s strategies. TJX’s management expressed confidence in their strategic positioning and ability to navigate current market challenges, emphasizing their commitment to providing value to customers.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers
© 2007-2025 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.