JPMorgan reiterates neutral rating on Fortinet stock amid product cycle concerns

Published 04/08/2025, 17:18
JPMorgan reiterates neutral rating on Fortinet stock amid product cycle concerns

Investing.com - JPMorgan maintained its neutral rating and $105.00 price target on Fortinet (NASDAQ:FTNT) on Monday, expressing increased caution ahead of the cybersecurity company’s second-quarter earnings report, scheduled for August 6. The company, currently valued at $75.5 billion, maintains impressive gross profit margins of 81.3% and has demonstrated solid revenue growth of 13.8% over the last twelve months.

The investment bank cited mixed feedback from recent industry and partner conversations, noting that Fortinet had heavily promoted its current product cycle last year, which led to elevated investor interest and multiple expansion before the cycle fully materialized. According to InvestingPro data, the stock currently trades at a P/E ratio of 40, reflecting these elevated expectations.

JPMorgan observed that while its proprietary surveys suggest favorable spending tailwinds, industry conversations indicate weaker than anticipated performance in Europe, with some business pulled forward into the first quarter—potentially problematic since most of Fortinet’s business originates outside the United States.

The firm highlighted that Fortinet had already completed 20% of its device-related refresh by the end of the first quarter, which could present risks to estimates for investors expecting more significant billings acceleration in the second half of the year.

With Fortinet trading at an enterprise value to next twelve months free cash flow multiple near peak levels, JPMorgan maintained its neutral stance while expressing increased caution about potential risks to market expectations. InvestingPro analysis reveals 12 additional key insights about Fortinet’s valuation and financial health, with a comprehensive Pro Research Report available for deeper analysis of this cybersecurity leader.

In other recent news, Fortinet has announced the integration of quantum-resistant security features into its FortiOS 7.6 operating system. These updates include post-quantum cryptography methods, using National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST)-approved algorithms, to bolster defenses against potential quantum computing threats. Additionally, Fortinet has expanded its security suite with the introduction of the FortiMail Workspace Security suite and enhancements to its FortiDLP data loss prevention solution. These improvements aim to protect against AI-enabled cybercrime by securing email, browsers, and collaboration tools such as Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) 365 and Google (NASDAQ:GOOGL) Workspace.

The company also recently mourned the loss of board member William H. Bill Neukom, who had been with Fortinet since 2013 and contributed significantly to its growth. In terms of financial analysis, Cantor Fitzgerald has raised its price target for Fortinet to $110 from $100, citing improved trends and increased channel incentives. This comes as Fortinet continues to see an uptick in close rates, indicating positive momentum in its business operations. These developments highlight Fortinet’s ongoing efforts to enhance its cybersecurity offerings and adapt to emerging threats.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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