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JPMorgan upgraded Domino’s Pizza (NYSE:DPZ) Enterprises Ltd. (ASX:DMP) from Underweight to Neutral on Tuesday, while simultaneously lowering its price target to AUD22.90 from AUD29.50.
The research firm cited valuation as the primary reason for the upgrade, noting that the current share price now reflects many of the earnings risks facing the company. JPMorgan believes the discount built into the stock’s multiple provides "a large margin of safety" despite ongoing concerns about Domino’s earnings outlook.
The firm reduced its earnings per share forecasts for Domino’s by 6.6% for fiscal year 2025, 10.4% for FY26, and 9.1% for FY27. JPMorgan’s EPS projections now stand approximately 10% below consensus estimates for FY26 and FY27.
JPMorgan’s new price target represents a 22% reduction from its previous target, reflecting both the earnings downgrades and a 10% discount to its fundamental valuation due to what it describes as "earnings uncertainty ahead of a strategic reset."
The firm maintains that earnings visibility for Domino’s Pizza Enterprises remains low heading into the FY25 results and the company’s strategy day planned for the first half of 2026.
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