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On Thursday, BofA Securities adjusted its stance on Jubilant Foodworks Ltd (NSE:JUBI:IN), the company that operates Domino's Pizza (NYSE:DPZ) in India, downgrading the stock from Buy to Neutral. The firm also increased the price target to INR725.00 from INR660.00. According to BofA Securities, the potential for further gains in Jubilant Foodworks' share price is now more constrained following its strong performance over the past six to nine months.
Jubilant Foodworks has experienced a robust recovery year-to-date in FY25E, particularly in the third quarter, gaining market share within both the pizza segment and the broader quick-service restaurant (QSR) industry. BofA Securities acknowledges the company's long-term prospects and management's efforts in strengthening the brand's fundamentals. However, the firm notes that the current valuations are full, indicating a balanced risk-reward scenario at present.
The revised price objective reflects minor adjustments to medium-term discounted cash flow (DCF) assumptions and extends the valuation horizon to FY27E. BofA Securities has taken into account Jubilant Foodworks' recent trading update, which indicates only slight changes in overall earnings (within a range of plus or minus 2-5%).
While revenue growth is on an upward trajectory, the company's operating margins are impacted by multiple investments aimed at reviving growth and making structural improvements to both Domino's and new brands.
The capital costs, including depreciation and interest, remain elevated due to the expansion of stores and commissaries. This financial outlook by BofA Securities comes at a time when Jubilant Foodworks is positioning itself for sustained growth in the competitive Indian QSR market.
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