Keefe analysts maintain AMAL stock Outperform rating, $45 target

Published 27/01/2025, 14:08
Keefe analysts maintain AMAL stock Outperform rating, $45 target

On Monday, Keefe, Bruyette & Woods analysts, led by Christopher O'Connell, maintained their Outperform rating and $45.00 price target on Amalgamated Bank (NASDAQ:AMAL). The financial institution's stock had recently seen a 4.9% decline on Thursday, following the release of a weaker pre-provision net revenue (PPNR) guidance. Despite this, the firm's analysts believe that the market reaction presents a buying opportunity.

The analysts also pointed out that Amalgamated Bank surpassed its initial 2024 PPNR guide by $11 million. They anticipate that even with a slight reduction in estimates, the bank is on track to maintain a 16% return on tangible common equity (ROTCE) and a 1.5% return on assets (ROA) in 2026, alongside mid-teens annual tangible book value (TBV) growth. These metrics are perceived as favorable, especially when considering the stock's valuation at 8 times its estimated 2026 tangible book value and 10 times its estimated 2026 earnings.The analysts' reiterated Outperform rating and price target reflect their positive outlook on Amalgamated Bank's future financial performance and stock potential. They see the current market valuation as an attractive entry point for investors, based on the bank's earnings prospects and growth levers, supported by the bank's consistent dividend increases over the past three years and strong revenue growth of 10.82% in the last twelve months.

The analysts also pointed out that Amalgamated Bank surpassed its initial 2024 PPNR guide by $11 million. They anticipate that even with a slight reduction in estimates, the bank is on track to maintain a 16% return on tangible common equity (ROTCE) and a 1.5% return on assets (ROA) in 2026, alongside mid-teens annual tangible book value (TBV) growth. These metrics are perceived as favorable, especially when considering the stock's valuation at 8 times its estimated 2026 tangible book value and 10 times its estimated 2026 earnings.

The analysts' reiterated Outperform rating and price target reflect their positive outlook on Amalgamated Bank's future financial performance and stock potential. They see the current market valuation as an attractive entry point for investors, based on the bank's earnings prospects and growth levers.

In other recent news, Amalgamated Financial Corp. announced a 17% increase in its quarterly dividend, setting the new dividend at $0.14 per share. This marks the third consecutive year of dividend increases for the company, with a significant 20% dividend growth over the past year. The company also extended its union contract with the Office & Professional Employees International Union until June 2026, which includes an annual wage increase of 3.5% and improved terms for employees.

In the financial realm, Amalgamated Financial Corp.'s recent third-quarter earnings report revealed a net income of $27.9 million and a core net income of $28 million. Deposits surged to $7.6 billion, driven by growth in social, philanthropic, and sustainable funds, and loans increased by 2.7%.

Following the company's strong financial results, Piper Sandler raised its price target for Amalgamated Bank to $42 from $39, maintaining an Overweight rating on the stock. The bank also reported an improved Tier 1 leverage ratio of 8.63% and revised its full-year guidance upwards, expressing optimism about growth prospects, particularly in sustainable banking. These are recent developments that provide a snapshot of the company's current financial status.

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