Keefe, Bruyette & Woods lowers Palomar stock price target on Neptune deal

Published 30/06/2025, 15:50
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods lowers Palomar stock price target on Neptune deal

Investing.com - Keefe, Bruyette & Woods lowered its price target on Palomar Holdings (NASDAQ:PLMR) to $204.00 from $205.00 while maintaining an Outperform rating.

The adjustment follows Palomar’s announced partnership with private flood MGA Neptune Flood, which is expected to accelerate gross written premium growth once the deal takes effect in October 2025.

The research firm reduced its 2025 earnings per share estimate to $6.80 from $6.95, citing a slightly lower second-quarter 2025 net earned premium to gross earned premium ratio and higher general and administrative expenses related to the April 1 Advanced AgPro acquisition.

Keefe, Bruyette & Woods maintained its 2026 and 2027 earnings per share estimates of $8.40 and $9.70, respectively, balancing higher expense ratios and slightly higher core loss ratios against faster gross written premium growth and lower catastrophe losses.

The updated discounted cash flow model produced the new 12-month target price of $204, representing a $1 reduction from the previous target.

In other recent news, Palomar Holdings reported a strong performance in its first-quarter earnings for 2025, with adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.87, surpassing the forecasted $1.62. The company saw a 20% increase in gross written premiums, amounting to $442.2 million, although revenue slightly missed expectations. Following this, Palomar raised its full-year 2025 adjusted net income guidance to a range of $186 million to $200 million. Keefe, Bruyette & Woods (KBW) responded positively by raising Palomar’s stock price target to $205, up from $195, maintaining an Outperform rating. This decision was influenced by Palomar’s updated financial outlook and strategic moves such as reinsurance renewals and increased earthquake coverage. Truist Securities also raised their price target for Palomar to $188, maintaining a Buy rating, based on a positive outlook for the company’s earnings potential. These developments reflect analysts’ confidence in Palomar’s growth strategies and financial health, marking a period of optimism for investors.

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