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KeyBanc downgrades T-Mobile stock on stretched valuation concerns

Published 12/12/2024, 09:46
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On Thursday, KeyBanc Capital Markets adjusted its perspective on T-Mobile US (NASDAQ:TMUS), downgrading the stock from Overweight to Sector Weight. The firm cited concerns over the company's current valuation, which they believe has become overstretched.

Trading near its 52-week high of $248.15 with a market capitalization of $272.45 billion, InvestingPro data suggests the stock is slightly overvalued at current levels. This shift in rating reflects caution despite acknowledging the company's strong market position in the wireless sector.

The analyst at KeyBanc expressed admiration for T-Mobile's sustained leadership in market share within the wireless industry over the last decade and noted the positive impact of its Fixed Wireless Access (FWA) business.

With annual revenue reaching $80 billion and an impressive gross profit margin of 64%, T-Mobile has maintained its position as a prominent player in the Wireless Telecommunication Services industry.

However, the competitive landscape appears to be evolving towards converged services. T-Mobile's recent moves to acquire fiber businesses at substantial multiples were highlighted as ventures that have yet to demonstrate their value.

T-Mobile's financial outlook was another point of focus, with the company guiding to an approximate 5% EBITDA growth for the year 2025. Although KeyBanc views this forecast as conservative and anticipates potential organic growth and benefits from acquisitions, it still represents a significant slowdown from the projected 9% growth in 2024. This is juxtaposed against AT&T's Mobility business's adjusted EBITDA guidance of 3-4%.

In light of these assessments, KeyBanc has made slight adjustments to its estimates for T-Mobile. The firm's decision reflects a cautious stance on T-Mobile's stock, suggesting that while the business fundamentals remain strong, the current market valuation does not provide a compelling case for an Overweight rating.

For deeper insights into T-Mobile's valuation and growth prospects, investors can access comprehensive analysis and 8 additional ProTips through InvestingPro's detailed research reports. This repositioning by KeyBanc may influence investor sentiment as they consider the potential growth and competitive challenges facing T-Mobile.

In other recent news, T-Mobile US has seen several noteworthy developments. The telecom company reported stellar financial performance, with annual revenue reaching $80 billion and an impressive EBITDA of $30.7 billion.

Bernstein SocGen Group initiated coverage on T-Mobile with a Market Perform rating, acknowledging the company's transformation from a trailing competitor to a leader in the wireless industry. T-Mobile's foray into Fixed Wireless Access (FWA) home broadband services was also highlighted as a key growth driver.

Raymond (NS:RYMD) James downgraded T-Mobile's stock from Outperform to Market Perform after a reassessment of the stock's valuation in relation to its recent price surge. However, Bernstein SocGen Group maintained its Outperform rating with a $220.00 price target, highlighting robust service revenue and core adjusted EBITDA.

Tigress Financial Partners raised the price target on shares of T-Mobile to $280.00, maintaining a Buy rating on the company's stock. The firm believes T-Mobile's continued expansion and operational strategies will lead to increased business performance and long-term shareholder value.

T-Mobile added 315,000 new postpaid accounts and 865,000 postpaid phone net subscribers, exceeding expectations. The company's CEO indicated that the fourth quarter's business activities are heavily weighted towards the end, suggesting potential risks in the latter half of the quarter. These are the recent developments in T-Mobile's journey.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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