KeyBanc lifts MongoDB stock target as strong Atlas and EA results drive F3Q outperformance

Published 10/12/2024, 12:58
KeyBanc lifts MongoDB stock target as strong Atlas and EA results drive F3Q outperformance

On Tuesday, KeyBanc has updated its outlook on MongoDB Inc. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:MDB), raising the price target to $395 from the previous $375 while maintaining an Overweight rating on the shares. This adjustment comes in the wake of a robust third-quarter financial performance that surpassed expectations, particularly highlighting the success of the company's Atlas (NYSE:ATCO) and Enterprise Advanced (EA) offerings.

MongoDB reported a significant revenue beat in the third quarter, outperforming projections by $33 million, a notable increase compared to the $12 million surplus seen in the prior two quarters. Management attributed this achievement to better-than-anticipated consumption trends, although these were still not on par with the previous year's levels. The strength in the EA segment was not only due to the acquisition of new workloads but also bolstered by $15 million stemming from several large, multi-year contracts.

Looking ahead to the fourth quarter, MongoDB has provided revenue guidance that exceeds expectations by $11 million. Furthermore, the company has revised its fiscal year 2025 EBIT margin projections upward by nearly 250 basis points, signaling a strong financial outlook. Despite the positive quarter, the company has indicated strategic shifts, including reallocating some resources from the mid-market to the enterprise segment and plans to phase out Atlas Serverless and Atlas Device Sync. Additionally, the announcement of the Chief Financial Officer's departure was made.

KeyBanc's decision to adjust MongoDB's price target reflects the raised estimates following the company's financial report and its strategic business plans. The firm's analysis suggests a continued focus on the Enterprise Advanced segment as a driver of future growth. MongoDB's recent performance and forward-looking strategies have evidently instilled confidence in KeyBanc, leading to the revised price target.

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