KeyBanc maintains Microsoft stock Overweight with $575 target

Published 09/04/2025, 15:00
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On Wednesday, KeyBanc Capital Markets maintained its Overweight rating on Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ:MSFT) with a steadfast price target of $575.00. According to InvestingPro data, Microsoft's stock currently trades at $361.11, with analyst targets ranging from $415 to $650, suggesting significant upside potential. The company maintains a strong market position with a market capitalization of $2.67 trillion. The firm's analyst provided insights into Microsoft's capital expenditure (capex) flexibility, particularly in light of recent shifts in the company's data center investments. The analysis suggests that Microsoft has maintained a level of adaptability in its capex, especially regarding its commitments to data center construction and purchases.

The analyst highlighted the company's significant investments in artificial intelligence (AI) as a core part of its strategy, affecting various aspects of its operations from Azure and GitHub to Dynamics. These investments are seen as crucial given the company's non-acquisition of Inflection and its partnerships with OpenAI. InvestingPro data shows Microsoft's strong financial position to support these initiatives, with a "GREAT" overall financial health score and revenue growth of 15.04% in the last twelve months. Microsoft's engagement in AI technology is believed to be a driving force for the company's future growth and innovation.

In examining Microsoft's financial commitments, it was noted that for fiscal year 2025, purchase agreements represent 61.8% of the non-debt-related commitments as of the end of 2024, with construction commitments accounting for 27.1%. This allocation indicates that Microsoft's spending on data centers is not locked into long-term commitments, thus providing the company with the flexibility to adjust its plans annually, as these commitments generally make up more than 90% of the total commitments from that line item.

The analyst's commentary also pointed out that Microsoft's historical pattern of capex commitments shows intervals of investment followed by periods of assimilation. This cyclic behavior suggests that the company does not continuously stack investments but rather takes time to integrate and leverage its capex in data centers.

The maintained Overweight rating and price target reflect KeyBanc's view of Microsoft's ability to navigate its capital expenditures effectively while continuing to invest in essential technologies like AI, which are integral to the company's strategic direction and long-term success. For deeper insights into Microsoft's valuation and financial metrics, including 14 additional ProTips and comprehensive analysis, check out the detailed Pro Research Report available on InvestingPro.

In other recent news, Microsoft has maintained its position as the world's largest listed company, surpassing Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL)'s market capitalization. This development comes alongside Cantor Fitzgerald's reiteration of an Overweight rating on Microsoft's stock, highlighting the strong performance of its Azure cloud services. Analysts noted that Azure's growth has accelerated this year, driven by high demand for AI capabilities. Meanwhile, Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) has been leading gains among the Magnificent Seven stocks, with a notable 2.9% increase in recent premarket trading. Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA), another member of the Magnificent Seven, has experienced fluctuations, including a 9.2% decline in earlier premarket trading. Additionally, OpenAI has launched a new Evals API designed to streamline workflow integration, offering users more flexibility in defining tests and automating evaluation runs. This tool aims to enhance the efficiency of AI applications, potentially improving model response quality. These updates reflect significant movements and innovations within the tech industry, providing investors with key insights into recent developments.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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