KeyCorp price target lowered to $18 from $20 at Jefferies on NIM outlook

Published 17/10/2025, 10:54
KeyCorp price target lowered to $18 from $20 at Jefferies on NIM outlook

Investing.com - Jefferies has lowered its price target on KeyCorp (NYSE:KEY) stock to $18.00 from $20.00 while maintaining a Hold rating. According to InvestingPro data, the stock currently trades at $16.78, with analysts’ targets ranging from $18 to $43, suggesting potential upside. The stock’s RSI indicates oversold conditions.

The firm cited KeyCorp’s strong third-quarter performance, which was primarily driven by net interest margin (NIM) expansion and net interest income outperformance.

According to Jefferies, KeyCorp continues to benefit from its strategic shift of moving low-yielding consumer mortgages into higher-spread commercial relationships.

KeyCorp has guided for its return on tangible common equity (ROTCE) to increase to over 15% by the fourth quarter of 2027, up from 12.5% in the third quarter, through 50 basis points of NIM expansion to 3.25%.

The bank expects this expansion to come from mechanical repricing and organic growth, with KeyCorp targeting a longer-term ROTCE range of 16% to 19%.

In other recent news, KeyCorp reported its third-quarter 2025 earnings, surpassing analysts’ expectations. The company achieved an earnings per share (EPS) of $0.41, higher than the projected $0.38. Revenue also exceeded forecasts, reaching $1.9 billion compared to the expected $1.88 billion. Despite these positive financial results, KeyCorp experienced a pre-market stock decline of 3.5%. This decline reflects investor concerns about potential future challenges. Analysts had anticipated different results, but the company’s actual performance showed resilience in its financial operations. These developments highlight KeyCorp’s ability to outperform market predictions, even as it faces investor apprehension.

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