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On Friday, CFRA analyst Adrian Ng adjusted the stock rating for Koninklijke KPN NV (KPN:NA) (OTC: KKPNY (OTC:KKPNY)), moving it from Buy to Hold. The decision was influenced by the recent ascent in share prices, which, according to Ng, have now incorporated the company’s positive aspects. Currently trading at $4.48, the stock is near its 52-week high of $4.77 and has gained over 30% in the past year. According to InvestingPro analysis, the stock appears fairly valued. These factors, along with KPN’s robust position within the Dutch telecommunications market, support the rating adjustment.
Ng’s EUR4.00 price target is derived from an 8.7 times projected 2025 enterprise value to earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EV/EBITDA) multiple. This valuation reflects KPN’s superior profit margins, with a current gross profit margin of 53.8%, and impressive dividend history. InvestingPro data shows the company has maintained dividend payments for 12 consecutive years, with five years of consecutive increases and a current yield of 3.7%. Ng’s reassessment follows KPN’s announcement of solid progress since the mid-February launch of Tower Company Althio, leading to an increase in their full-year 2025 guidance.
KPN has updated its full-year 2025 guidance, with expected EBITDAaL to surpass EUR2,600M, a slight increase from the previously forecasted EUR2,580M. Free cash flow (FCF) projections have also been adjusted upwards to approximately EUR920M from EUR910M. The establishment of Althio is set to provide KPN with greater control over its mobile sites and potential strategic synergies, albeit at the cost of a modest uptick in leverage, aiming for around 2.5 times net debt to EBITDA. The company’s financial health score on InvestingPro is rated as "GOOD," with particularly strong scores in profitability and price momentum metrics.
The management of KPN has expressed confidence in achieving the raised full-year 2025 targets and the mid-term objectives set for 2027. This confidence is underpinned by an anticipated service revenue growth of about 3%, coupled with the company’s limited exposure to U.S. trade tariffs. The company’s stock has demonstrated strong momentum, with a year-to-date return of 29.3% and notably low price volatility, as indicated by its beta of 0.21. These factors contribute to KPN’s strategic outlook and its ability to meet its financial goals in the coming years. For more detailed analysis and additional insights, investors can access over 8 more exclusive ProTips and comprehensive financial metrics through InvestingPro.
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