Lemonade stock 'well ahead' in AI-driven growth, notes JMP

Published 22/11/2024, 08:38
© Ben Kelmer, Lemonade PR

On Friday, JMP Securities updated their outlook on Lemonade Inc . (NYSE: NYSE:LMND) stock, raising the price target to $60 from the previous $40 while maintaining a Market Outperform rating.

The increase follows Lemonade's investor day held earlier in the week, which highlighted the company's advanced use of AI technology and its potential for growth.

The analyst praised Lemonade's position in the industry, noting its leading role in adopting AI to scale its operations effectively. The company's recent investor day emphasized its success and the opportunities that lie ahead.

According to the firm, Lemonade has a "long runway," and the possibility of growing the business tenfold, as discussed during the event, seems promising.

Lemonade's Renters and Pet insurance products have achieved significant scale, continuing to demonstrate strong growth rates. The analyst also pointed out the potential for cross-selling with the company's Car insurance and its expansion into the European market.

These areas are still in the early stages of development and are expected to become major contributors to Lemonade's growth trajectory in the coming years.

JMP Securities expressed confidence in Lemonade's strategic direction, suggesting that the path to doubling the size of the business could occur sooner than the market anticipates. The firm highlighted Lemonade's consistency in adhering to its original vision, with minimal deviations from its initial business strategy.

The raised price target and positive outlook reflect the firm's belief in Lemonade's innovative approach and its ability to capitalize on the benefits of AI technology in the insurance industry.

In other recent news, Lemonade Inc. has experienced significant growth in its third-quarter financials, with in-force premiums rising by 24% to $889 million, customer count increasing by 17% to 2.3 million, and gross profit surging 71% year-over-year to $37 million.

The company also highlighted its ambitious growth plans during its investor day, with a roadmap to longer-term profitability and an estimation to grow its in-force premium to $10 billion in the coming years.

Piper Sandler, BMO Capital, and Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) have adjusted their outlooks on Lemonade, with Piper Sandler and Morgan Stanley increasing their price targets while maintaining a neutral rating, and BMO Capital raising its price target while maintaining an underperform rating. These recent developments also include Lemonade's strategic plans for expansion, particularly in auto insurance.

Analysts project further improvements in 2026, with Lemonade's Q4 2024 in-force premium projection being between $940 million to $944 million, and revenue projection being $144 million to $146 million. The company aims to achieve consistent positive cash flow from operations by the end of 2024.

InvestingPro Insights

Lemonade's recent market performance aligns with JMP Securities' optimistic outlook. InvestingPro data shows that the company's stock has seen a remarkable 170.17% price return over the past month and a 202.1% return over the last year. This surge has brought the stock to trade near its 52-week high, with the current price at 96.44% of that peak.

Despite the strong market performance, InvestingPro Tips caution that the stock's RSI suggests it may be in overbought territory. This could indicate that the recent price surge might be due for a correction. Additionally, the stock is known for its high price volatility, which investors should consider when evaluating JMP's new price target.

While Lemonade's revenue growth remains solid at 22.09% over the last twelve months, the company is not yet profitable, with an adjusted operating income of -$206.1 million. This aligns with the InvestingPro Tip that analysts do not anticipate the company to be profitable this year.

For investors seeking a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 12 additional tips for Lemonade, providing a deeper insight into the company's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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