Loop Capital cuts MaxLinear stock target to $10, holds rating

Published 29/04/2025, 13:16
Loop Capital cuts MaxLinear stock target to $10, holds rating

Tuesday, MaxLinear shares reacted to a revised price target from Loop Capital, with analysts lowering the target to $10 from the previous $18, while maintaining a Hold rating on the stock. According to InvestingPro data, analyst targets for MaxLinear currently range from $10 to $27.50, with the stock trading near $10.15 after falling over 52% in the past year. The revision follows MaxLinear’s first quarter earnings report on April 23, which showed a solid performance and an optimistic guidance.

MaxLinear, a provider of radio frequency (RF), analog, and mixed-signal integrated circuits for the broadband and infrastructure markets, reported strong demand across most of its business segments, especially in Broadband and Infrastructure. While the company maintains a solid gross profit margin of 55.2%, InvestingPro analysis indicates the company’s overall financial health score is currently weak, with 10 analysts recently revising their earnings expectations downward. This demand has led to consistent growth in backlog and bookings for six consecutive quarters. Despite the overall positive outlook, the company noted some softness in its industrial business in China.

The company also provided guidance indicating expectations to reach a net income breakeven point in the June quarter and to start generating positive free cash flow from June through the end of fiscal year 2025. With current revenue at $361.2 million and analysts forecasting 23% revenue growth for fiscal year 2025, this financial forecast is supported by MaxLinear’s anticipation of its optical business revenue doubling year-over-year to $60-$70 million in fiscal year 2025, propelled by customer demand for its Keystone and Rushmore product families. Get deeper insights into MaxLinear’s growth potential with a comprehensive Pro Research Report, available exclusively on InvestingPro.

MaxLinear’s strategy to expand its market share includes a focus on non-NVIDIA markets, with plans to introduce its 1.6 terabit Rushmore products in the latter half of fiscal year 2026. The company’s revenue strategy is currently centered on its Keystone products, which are designed to support 400-gigabit-per-second and 800 Gbps applications.

Loop Capital’s analyst highlighted the company’s three consecutive quarters of improvement and its constructive customer tone, which suggests no current impact from macroeconomic factors on bookings. The new price target reflects a cautious but stable outlook for MaxLinear as it navigates through the current market landscape.

In other recent news, MaxLinear reported its first-quarter 2025 earnings, revealing a slight increase in revenue to $95.9 million, which surpassed analyst forecasts. The company’s earnings per share were in line with expectations, showing a loss of $0.05. MaxLinear anticipates achieving profitability and positive cash flow in the second quarter of 2025. Benchmark analysts maintained their Buy rating on MaxLinear, keeping the price target steady at $20.00, acknowledging the company’s solid performance and expected return to positive earnings. Analysts from Benchmark are optimistic about MaxLinear’s multi-year growth prospects, citing strong order activity and new product momentum. The company continues to focus on infrastructure and broadband markets, with strategic investments expected to drive future growth. MaxLinear’s management has highlighted the ongoing recovery in key markets and the strategic importance of their enterprise revenue streams. The company also provided guidance for Q2 2025, projecting revenue between $95 million and $115 million.

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