Lowe’s stock price target cut to $296 by Piper Sandler

On Thursday, Lowe’s Companies Inc. (NYSE: NYSE:LOW), the $140 billion market cap home improvement retailer, experienced a revision in its stock outlook by Piper Sandler, with the firm reducing the price target from $307.00 to $296.00. According to InvestingPro analysis, Lowe’s currently appears overvalued relative to its Fair Value estimate. Despite this adjustment, Piper Sandler maintained an Overweight rating on the company’s shares, aligning with the general analyst consensus of 2.05 (between Buy and Hold).

The price target revision follows Lowe’s fourth-quarter earnings call and its 2025 guidance. The company reported a robust performance for the quarter, maintaining its impressive track record of 41 consecutive years of dividend increases, as highlighted by InvestingPro. However, the guidance for 2025, initially provided during the December Analyst Day, suggested figures below market expectations, with six analysts recently revising their earnings estimates downward. The updated guidance reflects a reduction in the anticipated benefits from hurricane recovery efforts in the second half of the year and a slower start to the current year due to weather conditions.

Piper Sandler’s analysis indicates that Lowe’s remains on a solid growth trajectory, with current financials showing a healthy gross profit margin of 33.3% and return on assets of 16.4%. The company’s gains from investments aimed at professional customers and the margin benefits arising from its Productivity and Profit Improvement (PPI) initiatives have contributed to maintaining strong profitability. The research firm’s commentary highlighted that Lowe’s is well-positioned to capitalize on a potential rebound in the home improvement sector over the next two to three years. For deeper insights into Lowe’s financial health and growth prospects, investors can access comprehensive analysis through InvestingPro’s detailed research reports.

The conservative guidance offered by Lowe’s, similar to that of its competitor Home Depot (NYSE:HD), is based on current housing market conditions, which do not factor in any foreseeable improvements. Piper Sandler’s stance suggests confidence in Lowe’s capacity to strengthen its market position and deliver growth, even without a housing market upswing.

Investors and market watchers will likely keep a close eye on Lowe’s performance, particularly in light of the strategic measures it has implemented to bolster growth and the conservative nature of its forward-looking guidance.

In other recent news, Lowe’s Companies Inc. reported strong fourth-quarter 2024 earnings, exceeding Wall Street expectations with an earnings per share (EPS) of $1.93, compared to the forecasted $1.81, and revenue reaching $18.55 billion, surpassing the anticipated $18.19 billion. Despite the positive results, several analyst firms adjusted their price targets for Lowe’s. Loop Capital lowered its target from $300 to $295, maintaining a Buy rating, due to a cautious outlook for fiscal year 2025. Similarly, Truist Securities also cut its price target to $295 from $308 while keeping a Buy rating, citing strong performance in the professional contractor segment but ongoing pressure in the DIY segment.

KeyBanc maintained a Sector Weight rating, acknowledging the company’s robust fourth-quarter performance but highlighting concerns over Lowe’s 2025 EPS guidance, which fell short of market expectations. Mizuho (NYSE:MFG) Securities adjusted its price target to $300 from $305, retaining an Outperform rating, noting a projected decline in first-quarter comparable sales influenced by weather conditions. The firm anticipates a rebound in the second quarter with a positive outlook for the more critical Q2 period. These developments reflect a mixed sentiment among analysts, balancing Lowe’s recent financial performance with broader economic challenges and future projections.

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