Lumentum stock price target raised to $132 from $100 at Stifel on strong datacom demand

Published 13/08/2025, 11:56
Lumentum stock price target raised to $132 from $100 at Stifel on strong datacom demand

Investing.com - Stifel raised its price target on Lumentum (NASDAQ:LITE) to $132.00 from $100.00 on Wednesday, while maintaining a Buy rating following the company’s fourth-quarter fiscal 2026 results that exceeded consensus estimates. The stock, currently trading near its 52-week high of $120.30, has delivered impressive returns of over 158% in the past year. According to InvestingPro analysis, the stock’s RSI indicates overbought conditions.

The optical and photonics manufacturer reported results that surpassed not only analyst expectations but also the company’s own previously revised guidance range. With a market capitalization of $8.3 billion and revenue growth of 3.58%, Stifel noted that the outperformance was primarily driven by continued strength in datacom component demand, with the quarter seeing record levels of EML (electro-absorption modulated laser) shipments.

Looking ahead, Lumentum management identified cloud module, OCS (optical circuit switch), and CPO (co-packaged optics) verticals as drivers of long-term growth. The company anticipates specific ramps associated with the latter two opportunities to materialize in the calendar year 2026 timeline.

Stifel highlighted that Lumentum is accelerating capacity-expansion initiatives, though capacity constraints are expected to remain an overhang throughout fiscal year 2026. The firm noted that Lumentum reached approximately $100 million run rate on EML lasers two quarters earlier than anticipated.

The transition to 4-inch wafers is not completely finished, and capacity additions at one of the company’s two Japanese fabrication facilities remain ongoing, according to Stifel’s analysis of the company’s operations. While currently unprofitable, InvestingPro data shows strong financial health with a current ratio of 4.72, and analysts expect profitability this year. For deeper insights into Lumentum’s financial health and growth prospects, access the comprehensive Pro Research Report available on InvestingPro.

In other recent news, Lumentum Holdings Inc . reported impressive financial results for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2025. The company exceeded analysts’ expectations by posting an earnings per share of $0.88, surpassing the projected $0.80. Additionally, Lumentum reported revenue of $480.7 million, which was higher than the anticipated $467.31 million. Raymond James responded to these results by raising its price target for Lumentum to $145 from $125, maintaining a Strong Buy rating. The firm highlighted the significant contribution of Optical Circuit Switches, which generated initial revenue faster than expected. Wolfe Research also adjusted its outlook, increasing the price target to $150 from $120 while keeping an Outperform rating. This adjustment was attributed to structural drivers such as the rise of artificial intelligence, which is boosting optical traffic growth. These developments reflect a positive sentiment among analysts regarding Lumentum’s future performance.

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