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On Friday, Macquarie analyst Ravi Menon downgraded Birlasoft Ltd (BSOFT:IN) stock from Outperform to Underperform, significantly reducing the price target from INR640.00 to INR350.00. The downgrade follows a period of disappointing performance metrics, contrary to the expectations set by Macquarie in August 2024 when the firm had upgraded the stock from Neutral to Outperform.
Menon’s analysis pointed to a shortfall in both revenue growth and EBIT margin improvement, which were anticipated to reach 15-16%. Despite Birlasoft experiencing relatively low levels of attrition compared to its historical figures, the company’s EBIT margin has not met past standards. The fourth quarter of the fiscal year 2025 saw a widespread revenue decline across various verticals and client tiers, indicating that the issues are not temporary or client-specific.
The analyst expressed concerns over the company’s margins, predicting that they will likely remain under pressure throughout the fiscal year 2026. This outlook is based on the recent broad-based decline in revenue, which suggests deeper challenges than previously anticipated.
Menon further elaborated that a turnaround in growth and margin is not expected until the fiscal year 2027. This projection is based on the current trends and the performance of Birlasoft in the recent quarter, which seems to have led to the revised expectations.
The downgrade and price target adjustment by Macquarie reflect a significant shift in the firm’s outlook for Birlasoft, moving from a previously positive stance to a more cautious one. The new price target of INR350.00 represents a substantial reduction from the previous target of INR640.00, setting a more tempered expectation for the company’s stock performance in the near term.
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