Melius lowers Marvell stock price target to $70 on AI growth concerns

Published 29/08/2025, 12:10
© Reuters.

Investing.com - Melius Research lowered its price target on Marvell (NASDAQ:MRVL) to $70.00 from $76.00 while maintaining a Hold rating on the semiconductor company. According to InvestingPro data, analysts maintain a bullish consensus on MRVL with price targets ranging from $64.31 to $133.00.

The price target reduction follows Marvell’s third-quarter guidance for its Data Center business, which was approximately 5% below market expectations after a slight second-quarter miss. Despite near-term challenges, InvestingPro analysis shows strong revenue growth of 37% over the last twelve months, with analysts expecting continued sales growth this year.

Melius noted that Marvell’s business with Amazon appears "lumpy" with no upside from Trainium 2, while the company’s role in AWS’s next-generation Trainium 3 heading into fiscal year 2026 remains uncertain.

The research firm acknowledged Marvell’s progress in custom accelerators (XPUs) and AI-related custom work, with more than 18 wins reported, though the financial impact remains difficult to quantify.

Melius expressed concern that with Marvell’s AI revenues declining in the near term and its projected 30% AI growth rate lagging behind competitors Nvidia and Broadcom, which forecast 50% and 60% growth respectively, investors may be reluctant to pay for unproven potential.

In other recent news, Marvell Technology Inc. reported its second-quarter fiscal year 2026 earnings, revealing strong growth in both revenue and earnings per share. The company achieved a record non-GAAP EPS of $0.67, aligning with market expectations, and reported revenue of $2.006 billion, a significant 58% increase year-over-year. Despite these results, Marvell provided mixed guidance for the upcoming quarter, with revenue expectations slightly below forecasts due to the exclusion of its recently sold automotive business. Piper Sandler maintained an Overweight rating and an $85.00 price target on Marvell, citing the mixed guidance. Meanwhile, Needham lowered its price target to $80 while keeping a Buy rating, pointing to a decline in custom silicon revenue. Similarly, Jefferies adjusted its price target to $80, noting temporary setbacks in Marvell’s ASIC business but expecting recovery in the fourth quarter. Goldman Sachs also revised its price target to $72, maintaining a Neutral rating, as Marvell’s quarterly results and guidance aligned with expectations but showed better margins and EPS. These developments reflect varying analyst perspectives on Marvell’s future performance.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers
© 2007-2025 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.