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On Friday, Mizuho (NYSE:MFG) Securities adjusted its outlook on Canadian Solar Inc. (NASDAQ:CSIQ), increasing the price target from $16.00 to $17.00 while retaining an Outperform rating on the shares. According to InvestingPro data, the stock currently trades at a price-to-book ratio of just 0.26, suggesting potential undervaluation despite recent market challenges. The firm’s decision comes after Canadian Solar reported first-quarter earnings that surpassed expectations, driven by higher product shipments. The company also provided second-quarter guidance that exceeded estimates, particularly in gross margin percentage, even after removing a 600 basis point one-time gain from project deconsolidation. However, InvestingPro analysis reveals the company’s gross profit margin stands at 15.7%, with significant debt of $5.9 billion weighing on its balance sheet.
The management team at Canadian Solar expressed caution regarding potential impacts from the House draft bill, which contains stringent anti-foreign ownership control (FEOC) provisions. These provisions could restrict Canadian Solar from earning tax credits in the United States. Additionally, the company has revised its fiscal year 2025 sales forecast downward, attributing this to reduced solar module sales in non-profitable markets outside the United States, likely including China, and delays in battery sales in the U.S. due to uncertainty surrounding tariffs. Despite these challenges, the stock has shown resilience with a 9.19% gain over the past week. Get deeper insights into Canadian Solar’s financial health and 10+ additional ProTips with an InvestingPro subscription.
Mizuho analysts justified the increased price target by citing higher relative multiples, suggesting that if Canadian Solar can maintain its profit margins despite lower sales volumes, the company’s stock might perform strongly, potentially aligning with Mizuho’s more optimistic scenario. The research firm invites interested parties to attend the American Cleanpower event in Phoenix on May 21, where there will be an opportunity to meet with the leadership of Canadian Solar as part of a group session hosted by Mizuho.
In other recent news, Canadian Solar Inc. reported first-quarter 2025 revenue of $1.2 billion, aligning with analyst expectations, although the company posted a wider-than-expected loss of $1.07 per share. Despite this, Canadian Solar issued optimistic guidance for the second quarter, projecting revenue between $1.9 billion and $2.1 billion, surpassing the consensus estimate of $1.76 billion. The company also anticipates improved gross profit margins between 23% and 25%, driven by strong energy storage shipments. Jefferies adjusted its price target for Canadian Solar to $13.70 while maintaining a Buy rating, following the company’s financial results. Meanwhile, JPMorgan reaffirmed its Underweight rating with a $7.00 price target, noting Canadian Solar’s strong first-quarter performance but highlighting potential risks from legislative changes. Oppenheimer maintained an Outperform rating with a $23.00 price target, emphasizing Canadian Solar’s strategic shifts and development assets as key strengths. Canadian Solar also filed a Form 6-K with the SEC, detailing its first-quarter financial results and reaffirming its commitment to regulatory compliance.
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