Mizuho raises Exelon stock price target to $50, maintains Outperform

Published 28/04/2025, 13:30
Mizuho raises Exelon stock price target to $50, maintains Outperform

On Monday, Mizuho (NYSE:MFG) Securities adjusted its outlook on Exelon Corporation (NASDAQ:EXC), a leading utility company with a market capitalization of $46.57 billion, by increasing the price target to $50.00 from the previous $43.00. The firm sustained its Outperform rating on the stock. According to InvestingPro data, eight analysts have recently revised their earnings estimates upward for the upcoming period, while the stock has delivered an impressive 23.94% return year-to-date. The adjustment follows a period of analysis by Mizuho, during which several key factors were taken into account that could influence Exelon’s performance.

Mizuho’s analyst emphasized Exelon’s potential to achieve a higher price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple, currently trading at 18.87x, noting that the company faces no significant regulatory challenges this year. Exelon’s focus as a pure-play utility, concentrating on transmission lines and pipelines, is seen as a stable investment, especially during times when investors are risk-averse, reflected in its modest beta of 0.47. The limited risk associated with wildfires was also mentioned as a positive factor for Exelon.

The analyst further pointed out the benefits of recent legislation in Maryland, which established Multi-Year Rate Plans (MYRPs). These plans allow the Public Service Commission to approve similar initiatives, providing a more predictable regulatory environment for the company. Exelon’s commitment to a 5-7% earnings per share (EPS) compound annual growth rate (CAGR) was highlighted as a key aspect of its strategy.

Exelon has also demonstrated strategic capital redeployment following a difficult decision in Illinois. The company has shifted its investments to more favorable jurisdictions, resulting in a reduced proportion of earnings from its ComEd (IL) subsidiary, which now accounts for 25% of earnings, down from 31%.

In conclusion, Mizuho’s revised price target reflects confidence in Exelon’s operational strategy and its ability to offer investor safety amidst market volatility. The firm’s analysis suggests that Exelon is well-positioned to continue its growth trajectory and maintain its appeal to investors seeking stable returns, supported by its 55-year track record of consecutive dividend payments. InvestingPro analysis reveals additional insights about the company’s financial health and valuation metrics, with comprehensive details available in the Pro Research Report, one of 1,400+ deep-dive analyses available to subscribers.

In other recent news, Exelon Corporation has announced its first-quarter earnings report for 2025, scheduled for May 1st, with BMO Capital Markets expecting an earnings per share (EPS) of $0.87, a 28% increase from the previous year. BMO Capital raised Exelon’s price target to $50 while maintaining an Outperform rating, citing the company’s robust financial structure and recent legislative impacts in Maryland. In leadership changes, Exelon appointed Carim Khouzami as Executive Vice President of Transmission and Development and Tamla Olivier as President and CEO of Baltimore Gas and Electric, effective May 1. Additionally, Exelon welcomed cybersecurity expert David DeWalt to its Board of Directors, aiming to bolster its technological and security frameworks.

Evercore ISI downgraded Exelon’s stock rating to In Line from Outperform, though it raised the price target to $48, reflecting a recalibration of expectations based on market position and growth potential. Exelon has also issued $1 billion in new debt notes, with proceeds intended to repay outstanding commercial paper borrowings and for general corporate purposes. The issuance includes $500 million of 5.125% Notes due 2031 and $500 million of 5.875% Notes due 2055, marking a strategic move to optimize the company’s capital structure. These developments underscore Exelon’s ongoing efforts to adapt to market conditions and enhance its operational and financial strategies.

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