Mizuho sets $25 target on SailPoint stock with Neutral rating

Published 10/03/2025, 11:20
Mizuho sets $25 target on SailPoint stock with Neutral rating

On Monday, Mizuho (NYSE:MFG) Securities began its assessment of SailPoint Technologies Holdings (NYSE:SAIL), assigning a Neutral rating to the company’s stock along with a price target of $25.00. The firm’s analysts highlighted SailPoint’s Identity Governance & Administration (IGA) platform as a standout in the market, recognizing its robustness and scalability.

The analysts at Mizuho noted that SailPoint, traded on NASDAQ under the ticker (NASDAQ:SAIL), has broadened its product range significantly in recent years. With a market capitalization of $12.27 billion and trailing twelve-month revenue of $824.2 million, the company maintains a healthy gross profit margin of 63.8%. They also pointed out that SailPoint’s successful shift to a Software (ETR:SOWGn) as a Service (SaaS) model should lead to improved economic outcomes for the company, while its suite-based selling strategy is expected to substantially raise the average revenue per user (ARPU) over time.

Despite these positive factors, Mizuho expressed reservations about the future success of SailPoint’s cross-selling initiatives. InvestingPro data shows a weak overall financial health score, which may support these concerns. The uncertainty surrounding the extent to which the company will benefit from these efforts contributed to the Neutral stance, aligning with the current analyst consensus rating of 2.4 (between Hold and Buy). Additionally, the analysts mentioned that with SailPoint’s shares trading at nearly 10 times the calendar year 2026 estimated Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR), they believe the stock is currently fairly priced.

The coverage initiation by Mizuho reflects a careful consideration of SailPoint’s current market position and future potential, balanced by a cautious approach to the company’s valuation and the uncertain outcomes of its sales strategies. With the next earnings report due on March 26, investors will be watching closely for updates on the company’s growth initiatives. The price target of $25.00 set by Mizuho provides investors with a benchmark against which to measure SailPoint’s stock performance as the company continues to evolve and address the growing market for identity governance solutions. For deeper insights into SailPoint’s financials and growth potential, InvestingPro offers comprehensive analysis and over 30 additional financial metrics.

In other recent news, SailPoint Technologies Holdings has attracted significant attention from several major financial firms, each initiating coverage with varying perspectives. Piper Sandler started with an Overweight rating and a $30 price target, highlighting SailPoint’s 30% growth in Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) and its potential to capture a larger market share in identity governance. Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS), with an Equalweight rating and a $26 target, projects a 21% compound annual growth rate in ARR through 2030, emphasizing the company’s potential for margin expansion. BMO Capital Markets assigned an Outperform rating, also setting a $26 target, pointing to the growing importance of identity management and potential upside from machine identity expansion. Jefferies issued a Buy rating with a $26 target, citing SailPoint’s innovations in Machine Identity and Data Access Governance as growth drivers. Meanwhile, Goldman Sachs provided a Neutral rating with a $23 target, noting the company’s ability to gain market share but considering the stock fairly valued at present. These assessments reflect a diverse range of outlooks on SailPoint’s market positioning and financial prospects. Investors are closely monitoring these developments as they assess SailPoint’s potential in the competitive identity security sector.

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