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MongoDB stock backed by Bernstein for Outperform after exceeding Q3 revenue and income expectations

Published 10/12/2024, 12:56
MongoDB stock backed by Bernstein for Outperform after exceeding Q3 revenue and income expectations
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On Tuesday, Bernstein, a division of SocGen Group, adjusted its price target for MongoDB (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:MDB) shares, increasing it to $404 from the previous $360, while maintaining an Outperform rating. This revision follows MongoDB's third-quarter financial performance for fiscal year 2025, where the company exceeded consensus expectations on revenue by 6% and operating income by 7%.

According to InvestingPro data, 22 analysts have revised their earnings upwards for the upcoming period, with the company maintaining strong revenue growth of 22.37% over the last twelve months. Additionally, the firm upgraded its full-year 2025 revenue growth guidance by three percentage points.

The analyst noted that MongoDB's impressive headline results were partially due to one-time gains from signing longer-duration licensing deals. The core growth of MongoDB's Atlas (NYSE:ATCO) cloud service was reported to be in line with expectations, despite a continued trend of soft cloud consumption growth.

While the quarter's results were not as strong as they appeared at first glance, MongoDB was commended for its stable execution during a challenging demand environment. The company maintains a healthy financial position with a current ratio of 5.03, indicating strong liquidity to meet short-term obligations.

After a disappointing first quarter, MongoDB's management took accountability for various issues and has since delivered consistent growth in the subsequent quarters. InvestingPro data shows the stock has surged 55.88% over the past six months, with an impressive 8.06% gain in the past week alone. This surge is attributed to improvements in execution and a stable growth outlook, which are now factored into the company's valuation multiple.

However, near-term challenges related to cloud consumption growth could temper stock performance as investors await further details on the fiscal year 2026 outlook, which is expected to be provided in the next quarter.

Despite these concerns, Bernstein remains optimistic about MongoDB's long-term potential, citing the company's involvement in a rapidly growing market.

The firm's raised price target also reflects an increased valuation multiple, moving from 11.5 times to 12.5 times sales, in line with the higher valuations of MongoDB's peer group. Based on InvestingPro's Fair Value analysis, the stock appears overvalued at current levels, with additional insights and 13 more ProTips available to subscribers.

In other recent news, MongoDB, a leading database platform, has been the subject of several analyst updates following its strong third fiscal quarter performance. The robust financial results led to a raised revenue guidance for fiscal year 2025, exceeding expectations by $11 million.

Analysts at Baird, DA Davidson, and KeyBanc Capital Markets have all increased their price targets for MongoDB, showing confidence in the company's growth trajectory. However, Mizuho (NYSE:MFG) Securities maintained its Neutral rating despite raising its price target, citing valuation as the basis for this rating. MongoDB's strong quarter was attributed to significant growth in its Enterprise Advanced (EA) activity and Atlas consumption. The company also announced strategic shifts, including a focus on the enterprise segment, and the departure of the Chief Financial Officer.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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