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On Wednesday, Needham analysts revised their outlook on Bitdeer Technologies Group (NASDAQ:BTDR), reducing the price target to $15 from the previous $18, while still recommending the stock as a Buy. Currently trading at $9.49, BTDR has experienced significant volatility, with a -11.44% decline over the past week despite a 39.49% gain over six months. The adjustment follows a recent evaluation of the company’s operations and projections. InvestingPro data shows that 5 analysts have recently revised their earnings expectations downward, with price targets ranging from $15.10 to $31.00.
The analysis by Needham was informed by channel checks and discussions with Bitdeer’s management, focusing on three key areas: the company’s ASIC production and sales, its self-mining operations, and the development timelines for its high-performance computing (HPC) and artificial intelligence (AI) technologies. Based on these insights, Needham has reduced its expectations for ASIC deliveries to 1.5 exahashes (EH) for the second quarter of 2025 and has also revised down its full-year 2025 revenue forecasts for this segment. While the company holds more cash than debt on its balance sheet, InvestingPro analysis indicates it’s quickly burning through cash, with a current ratio of 14.58.
Despite the reduction in anticipated ASIC deliveries, Bitdeer has confirmed it will retain the deposits for the full 7EH of orders and plans to fulfill the remaining orders as customer demand resurfaces. Needham’s analysts express a continued enthusiasm for the upcoming Sealminer A03 and A04 generations, considering them more promising than the A02 model. Therefore, the diminished demand for the A02 is seen as not overly significant.
The company’s self-mining revenue projections for the first quarter have also been lowered. This is due to power curtailment in Bhutan and a decline in Bitcoin prices that fell short of Needham’s initial estimates. Regarding Bitdeer’s HPC/AI segment, the analysts anticipate a partnership agreement with a development partner could be announced as early as the second quarter of 2025. However, they note that securing a lease with a major cloud service provider would likely require an additional six to nine months from that point.
In light of these updates and adjustments to the company’s 2025 estimates, Needham has set a new price target of $15 for Bitdeer Technologies Group shares. Despite the lowered target, the firm maintains a positive outlook on the stock’s potential.
In other recent news, Bitdeer Technologies Group has launched its new SEALMINER A2 Pro series of Bitcoin mining machines, offering enhanced power efficiency and stability. The series includes the SEALMINER A2 Pro Air and SEALMINER A2 Pro Hyd models, with the latter featuring hydro-cooling technology. Bitdeer has also announced a new $20 million share repurchase program, following the completion of a previous $10 million buyback. This initiative is aimed at enhancing long-term shareholder value and will be funded by the company’s existing cash balance.
In terms of analyst actions, Rosenblatt Securities has revised its price target for Bitdeer to $25, maintaining a Buy rating. This adjustment follows a dip in Bitdeer’s managed hash rate but an increase in self-mining capacity. Needham analysts have also reduced their price target to $18, citing higher research and development expenses, yet they continue to recommend a Buy rating. Similarly, Benchmark has lowered its target to $24, emphasizing Bitdeer’s strategic focus on developing bitcoin mining ASIC chips and rigs. Despite these adjustments, analysts from all three firms maintain a positive outlook on Bitdeer’s long-term growth potential.
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