Needham cuts Tenable stock price target to $35, maintains Buy

Published 30/04/2025, 13:04
Needham cuts Tenable stock price target to $35, maintains Buy

On Wednesday, Needham, a renowned research firm, adjusted its price target for Tenable (NASDAQ:TENB) shares, reducing it from $50.00 to $35.00, while still upholding a Buy rating on the cybersecurity company’s stock. This decision came despite Tenable’s reported earnings and operating profit surpassing the upper range of their guidance. According to InvestingPro data, Tenable maintains impressive gross profit margins of 78% and has achieved revenue growth of nearly 12% over the last twelve months.

Tenable’s management confirmed their full-year 2025 operating profit and free cash flow forecasts but revised their expectations for calculated current billings (CCB) downward by $17.5 million and revenue by $5 million. According to Needham, the adjustments reflect a proactive strategy to mitigate potential risks associated with deal delays or enterprise reactions to tariffs, although such factors have not yet impacted customer behavior. With a market capitalization of $4.05 billion and operating with a moderate level of debt, the company maintains a solid financial foundation despite these adjustments.

Following the earnings release and subsequent guidance update, Tenable’s stock experienced a significant drop of approximately 17% in after-hours trading. Needham’s analyst found the market’s reaction to the news perplexing, especially considering Tenable’s consistent performance and lack of evident demand reduction. InvestingPro analysis suggests the company remains undervalued, with analysts setting price targets ranging from $28 to $52, and additional ProTips are available for subscribers looking to dive deeper into Tenable’s financial health.

At the current price point of around $27, Tenable’s stock is trading at an enterprise value to free cash flow (EV/FCF) multiple of approximately 11 times, which is notably lower than that of its peers. Needham suggests that Tenable’s current valuation presents an opportunity for investors willing to exercise patience, citing the potential for upside if the anticipated risks do not materialize. For a comprehensive analysis of Tenable’s valuation and growth prospects, investors can access the detailed Pro Research Report available exclusively on InvestingPro, which covers over 1,400 US stocks with expert insights and actionable intelligence.

Needham’s stance remains optimistic about Tenable’s long-term prospects, as the firm advises that patient investors are likely to see favorable outcomes despite the recent adjustment in financial targets and the market’s initial reaction to the news.

In other recent news, Tenable Holdings Inc . reported its first-quarter 2025 earnings, exceeding Wall Street expectations with earnings per share of $0.36, surpassing the forecasted $0.28. The company’s revenue reached $239.1 million, which was above the projected $233.73 million, marking an 11% year-over-year growth. This performance highlights Tenable’s strong market position and operational execution, driven by its strategic focus on recurring revenue streams. Despite these positive earnings, the company’s stock fell by over 10% in aftermarket trading, reflecting investor concerns. Tenable also launched new AI and cloud security capabilities and anticipates cautious growth due to uncertainties in the U.S. public sector. Analysts from firms such as JPMorgan and Barclays (LON:BARC) have noted the company’s strategic efforts in exposure management and cloud security. Additionally, Tenable’s acquisition of Vulcan Cyber is expected to enhance its platform capabilities, contributing to future growth.

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