Nextdoor stock price target cut to $3.50 at Craig-Hallum

Published 28/02/2025, 16:06

On Friday, Craig-Hallum adjusted its outlook on Nextdoor Holdings Inc. (NYSE:KIND), reducing the price target to $3.50 from the previous $4.00, while still maintaining a Buy rating on the stock. Currently trading at $1.91, near its 52-week low, InvestingPro data shows the stock has maintained impressive gross profit margins of 83%. The firm’s analyst, Jason Kreyer, provided insights into the company’s ongoing developments and strategic adjustments.

Kreyer highlighted that the NEXT initiative, Nextdoor’s latest project, is showing promising signs of success based on results from six test markets. With revenue growth of 13.27% in the last twelve months and a strong current ratio of 16.7, the company appears well-positioned to support its expansion plans. These results are indicating a potential for a broader rollout in the near future. To support this expansion, Nextdoor’s management is altering advertising loads and monetization strategies, aiming to optimize the impact of NEXT as it launches in new markets.

The analyst noted that these adjustments, along with shifts in advertiser preferences, may lead to a temporary slowdown in growth. However, the nationwide launch of NEXT is expected to reignite growth in the second half of 2025. Kreyer acknowledged the short-term challenges but emphasized the importance of fine-tuning the NEXT initiative for sustained long-term success.

In the statement provided by Kreyer, he expressed confidence in the long-term trajectory of Nextdoor and the NEXT initiative. He believes these are crucial in establishing a more engaging consumer platform. The analyst’s perspective remains positive, as he reaffirmed the Buy rating, indicating a continued optimistic outlook on the company’s future performance.

In other recent news, Nextdoor Holdings Inc. reported a robust financial performance for the fourth quarter of 2024, exceeding revenue expectations with a total of $65 million, marking a 17% increase from the previous year. The company achieved its first positive adjusted EBITDA of $3 million, signaling improved operational efficiency. Despite these positive results, the company’s stock experienced a decline, reflecting investor concerns over future growth and strategic decisions. Nextdoor is focusing on developing a new platform called " Next (LON:NXT)," expected to launch in mid-2025, which may impact short-term revenue. Analysts have noted the company’s strategic decision to reduce ad impressions as it concentrates on this new platform development. Looking ahead, Nextdoor anticipates flat revenue growth in the first half of 2025, with Q1 revenue guidance set at approximately $53 million. The company ended the year with a strong cash position of $427 million and completed a share repurchase, reducing the share count by 5%. Analyst firms such as Goldman Sachs have inquired about the company’s strategic focus on user engagement over new user acquisition and its impacts on advertising revenue.

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