Asahi shares mark weekly slide after cyberattack halts production
Investing.com - Goldman Sachs downgraded Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Limited (HK:2689) from Neutral to Sell on Friday, maintaining a price target of HK$3.80, which implies a 34% downside potential.
The downgrade reflects Goldman Sachs’ concerns about continued supply pressure in China’s containerboard paper industry, where capacity additions reached 10% during 2024-1H25, with another 4-5% expected in 2H25-2026E, outpacing forecast demand growth of 2-4% per year.
Goldman Sachs cut its EPS forecasts by 11-15% for FY26-27E, citing lower unit net profit projections for paper, partially offset by reduced finance costs and income taxes following FY25 results.
The firm expects Nine Dragons’ unit net profit to decline from RMB81/t in FY25 to RMB66/t in FY26E and RMB73/t in FY27E, driving net profit down to RMB1.6-1.9bn in FY26-28E from RMB2.2bn in FY25.
Goldman Sachs considers Nine Dragons’ current valuation expensive at 14-16x 12-month forward P/E, compared to its historical average of 8-10x, noting that the stock price has yet to reflect the deteriorating unit profit trend.
This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.