NiSource stock price target raised to $41 at BMO Capital

Published 05/02/2025, 17:08
NiSource stock price target raised to $41 at BMO Capital

On Wednesday, BMO Capital Markets increased its price target for NiSource Inc. (NYSE:NI) shares from $38.00 to $41.00, while reiterating its Outperform rating on the company. The adjustment comes as the firm’s analyst, James Thalacker, anticipates updates that could influence the utility company’s growth trajectory. The stock currently trades near its 52-week high of $38.83, having delivered an impressive 53% return over the past year. According to InvestingPro analysis, the stock appears slightly overvalued at current levels, with analyst targets ranging from $35 to $43.

NiSource, a holding company specializing in energy delivery, is poised to report its fourth-quarter 2024 earnings on February 12. Thalacker’s forecast for the quarter is $0.48 per share, aligning closely with the general expectations of $0.50 and last year’s $0.53 in the same quarter. The company maintains a solid track record with 39 consecutive years of dividend payments and demonstrates relatively low price volatility with a beta of 0.54. InvestingPro subscribers can access 8 additional key insights about NiSource’s financial health and growth prospects.

Investors are expected to seek clarity on several key developments during the upcoming earnings report. Notably, updates regarding the "agreement in principle" reached on February 3 in the NIPSCO electric rate case will be of significant interest. This case could impact the company’s revenue streams and regulatory environment.

Additionally, stakeholders are looking forward to insights on the Integrated Resource Plan (IRP) stakeholder process. This process is critical for shaping the company’s long-term strategy for meeting energy needs while considering environmental and economic factors.

The timing and specifics of NIPSCO’s Generation Company (Genco) filing will also be under scrutiny. This filing pertains to the utility’s power generation and supply operations, which could affect its operational efficiency and cost structure.

Lastly, updated demand forecasts and the development outlook for data centers are anticipated. As data centers require substantial energy supply, their expansion presents capital opportunities for NiSource. The company’s ability to cater to this growing demand could signal further growth and investment potential.

BMO Capital’s revised sum-of-the-parts (SOTP) mark-to-market (M-T-M) target price of $41 reflects confidence in NiSource’s growth prospects and strategic initiatives. The firm maintains its positive stance on the stock, suggesting that the company is well-positioned to capitalize on the opportunities ahead. Trading at a P/E ratio of 22.65, NiSource maintains a FAIR financial health score according to InvestingPro’s comprehensive analysis, which includes detailed insights available in the Pro Research Report, part of the platform’s coverage of over 1,400 US equities.

In other recent news, NiSource has been the focus of several significant developments. Analysts at Jefferies have increased NiSource’s stock price target to $43 from $39, maintaining a Buy rating. This adjustment comes in anticipation of a significant update by mid-2025 concerning a critical datacenter, which is expected to be a major contributor to the company’s earnings per share growth.

In addition, NiSource’s recent regulatory successes and the Northern Indiana Public Service Company’s declination filing, aimed at accelerating datacenter construction, are expected to be covered in the forthcoming update. The filing represents a strategic decision by NiSource to navigate the regulatory landscape and enhance operational capabilities.

Furthermore, NiSource has granted a $2 million stock award to Executive Vice President, Strategy Risk and Chief Commercial Officer, Michael Luhrs. The award, consisting of 52,938 restricted stock units, is set to vest over a three-year period. This move is seen as a strategy by NiSource to incentivize and retain key leadership.

These developments highlight NiSource’s strategic initiatives and financial performance, with Jefferies’ analysts expressing a bullish stance, noting that their expectations remain higher than the consensus on Wall Street. The company’s executive compensation practices and regulatory strategies further underline its commitment to shareholder value.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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