Northland downgrades Nutanix stock rating to Market Perform on VMware tailwind concerns

Published 09/10/2025, 13:46
Northland downgrades Nutanix stock rating to Market Perform on VMware tailwind concerns

Investing.com - Northland downgraded Nutanix (NASDAQ:NTNX) from Outperform to Market Perform on Thursday, while maintaining a price target of $76.00. The cloud computing company, currently valued at $19.13 billion, has seen its shares decline 7.5% over the past week, according to InvestingPro data.

The research firm cited concerns that the expected tailwind from VMware customer migrations may not be as strong as previously anticipated, primarily due to Red Hat becoming more aggressive in capturing these customers.

According to Northland, Red Hat is leveraging its brand strength in modern applications to attract VMware customers, while Nutanix’s strengths are more aligned with traditional application workloads.

This competitive dynamic has led Northland to believe a long-term growth rate of 16% is appropriate for Nutanix in its discounted cash flow valuation model.

The $76 price target remains unchanged despite the rating downgrade from Outperform to Market Perform.

In other recent news, Nutanix reported its fourth-quarter earnings for 2025, surpassing Wall Street expectations with an earnings per share of $0.37, compared to the forecasted $0.33. The company also exceeded revenue predictions, achieving $653 million against an anticipated $642.19 million. Nutanix’s revenue growth of 19.2% in the fiscal fourth quarter outpaced the consensus estimate of 17.6%. Additionally, the operating income margin reached 18.3%, which was higher than the consensus expectation of 15.9%.

In terms of analyst ratings, KeyBanc maintained an Overweight rating and a $95.00 price target for Nutanix, citing strong earnings. Piper Sandler also reiterated its Overweight rating with an $88.00 price target, despite acknowledging challenges in lead metrics and fiscal year 2026 expectations. Meanwhile, BofA Securities lowered its price target to $93 from $95, maintaining a Buy rating, noting higher expenses but highlighting strong customer acquisition with 800 new logos added during the quarter. In corporate governance news, Nutanix appointed former Intel CTO Greg Lavender to its board of directors, bringing over 40 years of technology experience to the company.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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