Oppenheimer maintains Ambarella stock Perform amid raised FY26 outlook

Published 30/05/2025, 11:40
Oppenheimer maintains Ambarella stock Perform amid raised FY26 outlook

On Friday, Oppenheimer reiterated its Perform rating for Ambarella (NASDAQ:AMBA), following the company’s first-quarter fiscal year 2026 results which surpassed consensus expectations. Ambarella reported a strong start to the year with first-quarter revenue and non-GAAP earnings per share (EPS) coming in at $86 million and $0.07, respectively. These figures exceeded the consensus estimates, which were set at $84 million in revenue and $0.04 EPS. According to InvestingPro data, while the company isn’t currently profitable, analysts expect it to turn profitable this fiscal year, with a forecasted EPS of $0.02.

The company’s management has updated its full-year 2026 guidance, increasing it from mid-to-high teens to a growth range of 19-25% year over year. This upward revision reflects confidence in the potential for Ambarella’s edge AI System on Chip (SoC) technology, which is designed for on-premise AI boxes used in enterprise security and other markets. In response to customer demand, Ambarella also announced the development of a new chip within the N1 family, aimed at delivering enhanced performance. InvestingPro analysis shows the company maintains strong financial health with a current ratio of 2.65 and more cash than debt on its balance sheet.

Ambarella’s second-quarter fiscal year 2026 revenue guidance is set at a mid-point of $90 million, suggesting an impressive year-over-year growth of approximately 41%. Despite the positive performance and raised guidance, Oppenheimer remains cautious, citing valuation concerns and macroeconomic uncertainties under the new administration as reasons for maintaining a neutral stance on the stock. InvestingPro data supports this cautious view, indicating the stock is trading slightly above its Fair Value, with RSI suggesting overbought conditions. Discover more insights and 8 additional ProTips for AMBA with an InvestingPro subscription.

In other recent news, Ambarella has reported its Q1 FY2026 earnings, surpassing analysts’ expectations with an EPS of $0.07 compared to the forecasted $0.04. The company also exceeded revenue predictions, reporting $85.9 million against the anticipated $84.01 million, marking a 57.6% year-over-year increase. Ambarella has raised its fiscal year revenue growth guidance to 19-25%, indicating confidence in continued expansion. Needham analysts have adjusted their outlook on Ambarella, reducing the price target from $110.00 to $90.00, but maintained a Buy rating on the stock. Despite the reduced target, Needham’s continuing Buy rating suggests confidence in Ambarella’s fundamental strength. The company is experiencing a diversification of its business, with security cameras now representing less than half of total revenue, while the automotive sector accounts for approximately 25%. Ambarella’s Strategic Addressable Market (SAM) is expanding from endpoint devices to edge infrastructure, with ongoing development of next-generation processors aimed at further penetrating the edge infrastructure market. The company remains focused on AI infrastructure and edge computing, with plans to explore new market segments such as robotics.

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