Oppenheimer sets SunCar Tech Outperform with $3.50 target

Published 10/06/2025, 08:16
Oppenheimer sets SunCar Tech Outperform with $3.50 target

On Tuesday, Oppenheimer initiated coverage on SunCar Tech Group (NASDAQ:SDA) with an Outperform rating and a price target of $3.50. Currently trading at $2.67, the stock has experienced significant volatility, with a 72% decline year-to-date. According to InvestingPro data, the company’s market capitalization stands at $274 million. The firm’s analysis suggests that SunCar Tech, a digital provider of B2B2C enterprise solutions for the Chinese automotive insurance and service markets, is well-positioned to capitalize on the digitization of insurance distribution.

According to Oppenheimer, SunCar Tech’s strong enterprise relationships with China’s leading financial institutions and electric vehicle (EV) manufacturers are critical for the company’s market share growth. The analyst noted that these relationships, along with a partnership with Deepseek to enhance artificial intelligence capabilities, should improve automation and customer engagement for SunCar Tech’s clients. This is highlighted by the company’s impressive 95% retention rate and an improving free cash flow profile. Recent InvestingPro data shows the company maintains a moderate debt level with a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.44, while operating with relatively weak gross profit margins of 12%.

The firm forecasts that SunCar Tech will maintain high-teens revenue growth, which will support higher operational expenditure leverage. Furthermore, Oppenheimer projects that the company’s EBITDA will grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 69% from 2024 to 2027. The price target of $3.50 is based on a 15x multiple of the company’s estimated 2026 EBITDA, which is consistent with the valuations of its peers, despite SunCar Tech’s higher growth profile.

This optimistic outlook for SunCar Tech Group is underpinned by the company’s strategic initiatives and the continued digital transformation in the automotive insurance sector. The firm’s analysis indicates a strong future for SunCar Tech, as it leverages technology to enhance its service offerings in a competitive market. InvestingPro analysis suggests the stock is currently undervalued, with 12 additional exclusive insights available to subscribers, including detailed financial health scores and growth metrics.

In other recent news, SunCar Technology Group Inc. reported a notable first-quarter revenue of $102.6 million for 2025, reflecting a 19.9% year-over-year increase. BTIG analysts have maintained a Buy rating on SunCar, with a price target of $12, highlighting the company’s consistent revenue growth and improved adjusted EBITDA loss. SunCar has also expanded its partnership with BYD (SZ:002594), extending eInsurance services across 50 dealerships under BYD’s high-end EV brands. Additionally, SunCar announced a new agreement with China Construction Bank (OTC:CICHF) to provide Designated Driver services, expected to generate significant revenue over the next year and a half.

In a move to enhance its service offerings, SunCar secured a contract with the Sichuan Branch of Agricultural Bank of China (OTC:ACGBF) to provide smart car wash services. The partnership aims to integrate SunCar’s technology-driven solutions with ABC’s banking services. Furthermore, SunCar expanded its strategic partnership with Ping An Bank, enhancing automotive aftermarket services for the bank’s customers.

In another significant development, SunCar has been awarded a contract to create and manage an insurance management platform for Leapmotor (HK:9863), a fast-growing electric vehicle manufacturer in China. This partnership transforms SunCar’s role from a traditional service provider to a technology partner, integrating the platform into Leapmotor’s mobile app ecosystem. These recent developments underscore SunCar’s strategic growth and expansion in the Chinese auto services and insurance markets.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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