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Piper Sandler bullish on Manhattan stock, cites $3B cloud growth

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 25/11/2024, 09:18
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On Monday, Piper Sandler initiated coverage on Manhattan Associates, Inc. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:MANH) stock with an Overweight rating and established a price target of $326.00. The firm highlighted Manhattan Associates' role in providing supply chain commerce solutions to clients in various industries, noting the company's expertise in handling complex environments.

The analyst from Piper Sandler pointed out that the supply chain sector is experiencing several secular tailwinds that are propelling market growth. Manhattan Associates is distinguished by its proficiency in the most intricate settings. Despite the potential challenges associated with cloud transitions, the firm observed that Manhattan Associates has navigated past the most significant revenue headwinds. This progress is expected to lead to better visibility and margin improvement in the future.

According to the coverage, Manhattan Associates also presents a migration opportunity exceeding $3 billion. While the current valuation of the company is considered high, the premium compared to similar quality peers aligns with historical levels. The financial outlook for fiscal year 2025 is deemed conservative by Piper Sandler, suggesting there could be room for upward revisions.

Additionally, a mandated SAP migration, which is conservatively estimated to be a $375 million opportunity, is seen as a significant factor that could contribute to the company's opportunity pipeline over the next 3 to 5 years.

The firm concluded by stating that the recent market volatility is viewed as a chance for long-term shareholders to increase their stakes in Manhattan Associates.

In other recent news, Manhattan Associates, a leader in supply chain and omnichannel commerce technology, reported a strong Q3 performance with a 12% increase in total revenue to $267 million and a 29% rise in adjusted earnings per share to $1.35. The company's cloud subscription revenue saw a significant increase of 33%, while the remaining performance obligation (RPO) grew by 27% to approximately $1.7 billion. These gains are attributed to the high demand for Manhattan's innovative cloud services, particularly the new Manhattan Active Supply Chain Planning solution.

The company also reported a robust cash position with no debt, leading to an optimistic outlook for Q4 and a prediction to hit the high end of its 2024 RPO bookings guidance. Aiming to enhance its GenAI capabilities and collaborate with Google (NASDAQ:GOOGL), Manhattan Associates has tightened its 2024 revenue guidance to a range of $1.039 billion to $1.041 billion, with a raised operating margin midpoint to 34%.

Looking forward, preliminary targets for 2025 include total revenue of $1.13 billion to $1.14 billion and a cloud revenue growth of 23%. These recent developments reflect Manhattan Associates' solid growth trajectory driven by strong demand for its cloud-based solutions and services.

InvestingPro Insights

Manhattan Associates' strong market position, as highlighted by Piper Sandler, is further supported by recent financial data and analyst sentiment. According to InvestingPro data, the company's revenue grew by 15.33% over the last twelve months, reaching $1.02 billion. This growth aligns with the firm's assessment of Manhattan Associates' ability to capitalize on supply chain sector tailwinds.

The company's profitability is also noteworthy, with an operating income margin of 25.35% and a gross profit margin of 54.65% for the same period. These figures underscore Manhattan Associates' efficiency in managing its operations and delivering value to clients in complex environments.

InvestingPro Tips reveal that seven analysts have revised their earnings upwards for the upcoming period, suggesting growing confidence in the company's near-term prospects. This aligns with Piper Sandler's view that the fiscal year 2025 outlook may be conservative.

However, investors should note that Manhattan Associates is trading at a high P/E ratio of 78.24, which reflects the premium valuation mentioned in the analyst coverage. The stock's price movements are also quite volatile, which could present opportunities for long-term investors, as suggested by Piper Sandler.

For those interested in a deeper analysis, InvestingPro offers 13 additional tips for Manhattan Associates, providing a comprehensive view of the company's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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