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On Wednesday, Piper Sandler analyst adjusted the price target for Global-E Online Ltd (NASDAQ:GLBE) to $42.00, a significant decrease from the previous $62.00 target, while maintaining the Overweight rating on the company’s shares. The adjustment comes in response to policy and tariff changes that could potentially affect the company’s business model. According to InvestingPro data, GLBE currently trades at $32.94, with analysts’ targets ranging from $37 to $66, suggesting significant upside potential despite recent challenges.
Global-E Online, known for its exposure to luxury retailers and Shopify (NASDAQ:SHOP) merchants, operates with a Gross Merchandise Value (GMV) driven pricing model. According to Piper Sandler, this makes the company highly sensitive to policy and tariff shifts. This sensitivity has been reflected in the market, with InvestingPro data showing a 39.6% year-to-date decline. Despite these challenges, the company maintains strong fundamentals with a healthy current ratio of 2.08 and robust revenue growth of 32.1% over the last twelve months.
The analyst’s commentary highlighted the impact of these external factors on Global-E Online’s performance. "Most Sensitive Model to Policy / Tariff Changes - GLBE: High exposure to luxury retailers and Shopify merchants with a GMVdriven pricing model makes GLBE the most sensitive model on our coverage list to policy and tariff changes," the analyst noted.
Despite the downward revision of the price target, Piper Sandler’s stance on the stock’s outlook remains positive. The analyst believes that even after a material cut to their 2025 estimates for Global-E Online, the risk-reward balance for the company’s stock is still favorable.
The new price target of $42 reflects both a reduction in estimates and a cut in the multiple used by Piper Sandler to assess the company’s stock value. This reassessment comes as the market continues to adapt to the evolving policy and tariff landscape that directly affects companies like Global-E Online.
In other recent news, Global-E Online Ltd has seen a series of analyst adjustments regarding its stock price targets and ratings. KeyBanc Capital Markets lowered its price target for Global-E from $60 to $45 while maintaining an Overweight rating, citing risks such as the competitive landscape and reliance on third-party platforms. Needham also reduced its target from $64 to $40, maintaining a Buy rating, and noted the impact of new tariff policies and DHL’s suspension of certain shipments, which could affect Global-E’s Gross Merchandise Volume growth. Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) upgraded the company from Equalweight to Overweight, despite cutting the price target to $46, based on the company’s conservative guidance and strategic positioning in the market.
Benchmark analysts adjusted their price target to $61 from $64, retaining a Buy rating, and highlighted Global-E’s multi-local strategy and operational leverage as positive factors. Needham maintained a $64 price target and a Buy rating, expressing optimism about Global-E’s growth potential following its Investor Day. The firm emphasized Global-E’s innovative strategies and partnership developments, which are expected to drive future growth and profitability. These recent developments reflect a cautious yet optimistic outlook from analysts on Global-E’s business model and strategic initiatives.
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