Piper Sandler highlights Consumer AI growth prospects

Published 01/04/2025, 13:14
Piper Sandler highlights Consumer AI growth prospects

On Tuesday, Piper Sandler released a report examining the Consumer AI sector, predicting significant expansion in the coming years. The report, part of the Tech Decoded series, anticipates 2025 to be a pivotal year for AI integration at the consumer level, particularly within the application layer, following a surge in data center infrastructure AI. The latter was evidenced by NVIDIA (NASDAQ:NVDA)’s data center revenue skyrocketing to over $36 billion in the last quarter compared to $3.6 billion in the first quarter of 2023.

The firm projects the Consumer AI market to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 46%, potentially exceeding $100 billion by 2030, a substantial increase from $15 billion in 2025. Piper Sandler highlighted several public companies poised to benefit from this growth, including Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN), Duolingo (NASDAQ:DUOL), Google (NASDAQ:GOOGL), Meta Platforms (NASDAQ:META), Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT), Opera (NASDAQ:OPRA), and Reddit (NASDAQ:RDDT). According to InvestingPro data, Duolingo demonstrates strong execution with impressive 40.84% revenue growth and 72.78% gross profit margins in the last twelve months. The language learning platform, currently valued at $14.05 billion, appears overvalued according to InvestingPro’s Fair Value analysis. Additionally, the report profiles 13 private firms and lists 25 emerging AI companies worth monitoring.

The analysis underscores the advantage of established players in the market, citing their combined revenues of approximately $1.5 trillion, market capitalization of around $8.2 trillion, and annual AI investments surpassing $100 billion. These companies, such as Google, Meta, and ByteDance, can leverage their scale and distribution networks to introduce new AI models to billions of users worldwide. For detailed financial analysis and comprehensive valuations of these tech giants, InvestingPro offers extensive research reports covering 1,400+ top US stocks, transforming complex Wall Street data into actionable intelligence.

The report also provided a snapshot of the Consumer AI landscape for February 2025. It listed the top 50 websites by monthly active users (MAUs), with ChatGPT, Discord, and Scribd leading the pack. Among mobile applications, ChatGPT and DeepSeek topped the chart for monthly downloads, followed by Duolingo and Gemini. Duolingo’s strong market position is reflected in its robust financial health, earning a "GREAT" overall score from InvestingPro, with particularly strong growth and cash flow metrics.

Piper Sandler identified several trends shaping the Consumer AI space, including the proliferation of AI-specific hardware on devices, the rapid adoption of AI in the U.S. market with China as a competitive force, and the demographic skew of ChatGPT users towards males aged 18-24. The report also touched on the state of Google Search, suggesting that concerns about Google’s displacement due to AI advancements are exaggerated, noting that Google’s search volume recently surpassed 5 trillion queries annually and remains significantly ahead of its closest competitor, Bing, despite ChatGPT gaining visitor share.

In other recent news, Duolingo Inc. has been the focus of several analyst updates following its strong performance in recent quarters. DA Davidson raised its price target for Duolingo from $400 to $410, maintaining a Buy rating, citing robust user growth and positive enrollment data. Similarly, JPMorgan also increased its target to $410, keeping an Overweight rating, and highlighted the potential of Duolingo’s AI-driven product cycle, particularly the Max feature, which is expected to significantly boost the company’s subscriber base by 2025.

Needham also raised its price target for Duolingo to $400, praising the company for its impressive growth in daily active users and subscription bookings. Despite a slightly weaker-than-expected adjusted EBITDA forecast for 2025, Needham remains optimistic about Duolingo’s strategic investments, particularly in enhancing its GenAI-powered functionalities. Additionally, Duolingo’s new subscription service, Duolingo Max, has been identified as a key revenue driver, contributing to the company’s positive outlook.

Meanwhile, Take-Two Interactive (NASDAQ:TTWO) Software (ETR:SOWGn) has been noted for its cautious approach to AI integration in game development. During the 2025 Game Developers Conference, it was observed that while interest in AI is high, its actual implementation in development processes remains minimal. A speaker from NaturalMotion, a Take-Two subsidiary, emphasized prioritizing player experience over premature AI adoption, suggesting that widespread AI integration in game development may take more time.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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