Piper Sandler maintains Adobe stock $600 target amid AI fears

Published 05/03/2025, 13:56
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On Wednesday, Piper Sandler reaffirmed its Overweight rating on Adobe stock (NASDAQ:ADBE), maintaining a $600.00 price target. The firm addressed concerns about the impact of AI disruption on Adobe’s performance, noting a 17% drop in Adobe shares over the past three months compared to a 5% decline in the S&P 500. Analysts at Piper Sandler expressed skepticism that Adobe’s upcoming Q1 earnings report next week could counteract the prevailing bearish sentiment.

Despite recent challenges, Piper Sandler highlighted a December model reset that projects a year-over-year growth of 8.9% for fiscal year 2025, factoring in foreign exchange and product headwinds. The company maintains impressive gross profit margins of 89% and has achieved 10.8% revenue growth over the last twelve months. Furthermore, the firm pointed out that Adobe’s calendar year 2026 enterprise value to free cash flow (EV/FCF) multiple of 19x is nearly half that of its large-cap peers, suggesting that the stock could rebound without requiring significant positive developments.

Looking ahead to Adobe’s earnings report on March 12 and the investor day scheduled for March 18, Piper Sandler remains optimistic about the company’s prospects. The firm outlined five key topics it is monitoring closely: subscription growth, reiteration of the 2025 net new annual recurring revenue (NNARR) guidance of $1.89 billion, potential for double-digit earnings per share (EPS) growth, strategies for AI monetization, and the introduction of new packaging and pricing strategies. InvestingPro analysis reveals Adobe’s strong financial health with a "GOOD" overall score, supported by robust profitability metrics and moderate debt levels. Discover 12 additional exclusive ProTips and comprehensive financial analysis in the Pro Research Report.

Adobe’s management team is expected to address these topics during the upcoming investor events, providing insights into the company’s growth trajectory and strategic initiatives. With analyst price targets ranging from $420 to $660, Piper Sandler’s continued positive outlook on Adobe shares reflects confidence in the company’s ability to navigate current market challenges and capitalize on emerging opportunities. For deeper insights into Adobe’s valuation and growth potential, access the full suite of financial metrics and expert analysis on InvestingPro.

In other recent news, Adobe has launched Photoshop for iPhone, expanding its digital imaging suite to mobile devices. This move includes advanced AI tools powered by Adobe Firefly, allowing users to edit images with core Photoshop features on the go. Additionally, Adobe introduced a new Photoshop Mobile and Web plan, priced at $7.99 per month, which offers enhanced tools and access to Adobe Stock’s asset library. Meanwhile, BMO Capital Markets adjusted its price target for Adobe to $515, down from $570, while maintaining an Outperform rating, citing both opportunities and competitive challenges in the market. Piper Sandler reiterated an Overweight rating with a $600 target, noting Adobe’s potential to transition from a laggard to a leader, particularly with its AI strategy. RBC Capital Markets maintained its Outperform rating and $590 target, highlighting Adobe’s new Firefly app and subscription plans as strategic moves to enhance transparency in monetizing Generative AI. Evercore ISI also reiterated an Outperform rating with a $650 target, projecting potential revenue upside from Adobe’s Firefly platform by 2026. These developments come as Adobe continues to integrate AI technologies and expand its offerings to attract a diverse user base.

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