Piper Sandler raises Cheesecake Factory target to $51

Published 20/02/2025, 14:32
Piper Sandler raises Cheesecake Factory target to $51

On Thursday, Piper Sandler adjusted its outlook on Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ:CAKE) shares, increasing the price target to $51 from the previous $47, while keeping a Neutral stance on the company. With the stock currently trading at $54.29 and analyst targets ranging from $40 to $67, InvestingPro data shows the stock may be overvalued at current levels. The adjustment followed the release of the restaurant chain’s fourth-quarter 2024 earnings.

Cheesecake Factory’s fourth-quarter performance aligned closely with investor expectations. The company’s same-store sales (SSS) grew by 1.7%, which was in line with the consensus. More notably, the consolidated restaurant-level margin (RLM) expanded by approximately 150 basis points year-over-year, surpassing consensus expectations, albeit the expansion was somewhat anticipated by investors. The company’s strong execution has contributed to impressive returns, with InvestingPro data showing a 60.59% price return over the past year.

Looking forward, Cheesecake Factory’s management has confirmed its revenue guidance for the fiscal year 2025, with a slight increase due to the planned opening of additional new units. While the company still anticipates RLM margin growth in 2025, the expected increase has been adjusted slightly downwards due to the timing of the new unit openings, which are now scheduled earlier in the year.

The recent financial disclosures by Cheesecake Factory are not expected to significantly alter consensus estimates or shift the ongoing debate surrounding the company’s stock. The market’s reaction to the updated guidance and price target change will unfold as investors digest the implications of the company’s latest financial performance and future plans.

In other recent news, Cheesecake Factory reported a strong fourth quarter, with earnings per share (EPS) of $1.04, surpassing analyst expectations of $0.91. The company’s total revenue for the quarter rose to $921 million, a 5% increase from the previous year. Raymond (NSE:RYMD) James noted the impressive store margins and increased its price target for the stock to $60, maintaining an Outperform rating. Citi also raised its price target to $66, highlighting potential margin improvements and operational enhancements. Oppenheimer reiterated its Outperform rating with a $65 price target, expressing confidence in the company’s ability to exceed its financial guidance for 2025.

Cheesecake Factory’s growth brands, North Italia and Flower Child, continue to show strong performance, contributing to the company’s positive outlook. The company plans to open up to 25 new restaurants in fiscal 2025, aiming for a significant expansion of its brand presence. Analysts have noted the potential for long-term growth, with expectations for approximately 200 new North Italia locations and 700 Flower Child sites. Despite challenges such as adverse weather conditions, the company remains optimistic about achieving its financial objectives. These recent developments indicate a positive trajectory for Cheesecake Factory’s future performance.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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