Raymond James cuts CSX stock price target to $33

Published 17/04/2025, 11:16
Raymond James cuts CSX stock price target to $33

On Thursday, Raymond (NSE:RYMD) James analyst Patrick Tyler Brown revised the price target for CSX Corporation (NASDAQ:CSX) shares, lowering it to $33 from the previous $34, while reiterating an Outperform rating. With CSX currently trading at $27.35, near its 52-week low of $26.22, the new target suggests significant upside potential. The adjustment comes as Brown highlights CSX’s ongoing commitment to its ONECSX initiatives, which are anticipated to boost revenues, margins, earnings per share (EPS), and free cash flow (FCF) in the future. According to InvestingPro, 19 analysts have recently revised their earnings expectations downward for the upcoming period.

Brown’s commentary pointed out that CSX’s execution of its strategic initiatives is expected to drive not only operational and cultural improvements but also to strengthen financial outcomes in the coming years. The company already demonstrates impressive financial health with a robust gross profit margin of 48.65%. According to Brown, the combination of enhanced service quality along with CSX’s growth strategies—both internal through industrial development and external via mergers and acquisitions—has the potential to open up new avenues for growth and market share opportunities over time.

The analyst also noted the positive impact of CEO Hinrichs’ leadership, particularly his focus on customer service and the employee experience. Hinrichs’ background as a former rail customer is seen as a significant factor in his approach to leading the company.

CSX’s strategic initiatives and growth strategies are designed to deliver long-term earnings and free cash flow that could exceed current expectations. Brown remains optimistic about the possibilities for CSX under the current leadership, which is reflected in the maintained Outperform rating despite the slight reduction in the price target.

In other recent news, CSX Corporation announced its first-quarter 2025 earnings, which fell short of analyst expectations. The company reported an earnings per share (EPS) of $0.34, missing the forecasted $0.38, and revenue of $3.42 billion, which was below the expected $3.51 billion. This represents a 7% year-over-year decrease in revenue and a 24% drop in EPS. Despite a 2% increase in intermodal volumes, overall volume decreased by 1%, and coal revenue experienced a significant decline of 27%. The company attributed some of these challenges to ongoing operational issues due to infrastructure projects, including the Howard Street Tunnel and Blue Ridge subdivision rebuilds. Analysts from firms like UBS and Barclays (LON:BARC) have noted the operational challenges, but CSX management remains focused on improving network fluidity and addressing these issues. Looking ahead, CSX anticipates volume growth for the full year and expects improvements in network performance as they navigate these challenges.

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