Raymond James maintains strong buy on NOA stock, target Cdn$40.00

Published 21/03/2025, 13:16
Raymond James maintains strong buy on NOA stock, target Cdn$40.00

On Friday, Raymond (NSE:RYMD) James analyst Frederic Bastien reiterated a Strong Buy rating and a price target of Cdn$40.00 on North American Construction Group (NOA:CN) (NYSE: NOA). Bastien highlighted the company’s resilience despite a challenging fourth quarter in 2024, which saw initial market reactions cause a 10% drop in the stock’s price at the opening. The company, currently valued at $457.6 million in market capitalization, has demonstrated strong fundamentals with a 20.85% revenue growth in the last twelve months. According to InvestingPro, the company maintains a GOOD overall financial health score.

Bastien’s comments shed light on the situation, stating that the initial market reaction was akin to a "shoot first, ask later" scenario. Upon closer examination, it became evident that North American Construction Group’s positive momentum in Australia and an optimistic outlook in Canada remained unchanged. Trading at $16.57, between its 52-week range of $15.09-$23.71, InvestingPro analysis suggests the stock is currently undervalued, presenting a potential opportunity for investors. The company has also maintained dividend payments for 12 consecutive years, showcasing its commitment to shareholder returns.

The analyst emphasized that, despite the ups and downs faced in 2024, North American Construction Group has secured a contract extension with Suncor, which positions the company favorably for the future. Bastien pointed out that the stock’s valuation is currently at an unfairly discounted level, presenting investors with an asymmetrical risk-reward profile. Trading at a P/E ratio of 16.41x, the company has demonstrated consistent profitability over the last twelve months. Get access to more detailed valuation metrics and 6 additional ProTips with an InvestingPro subscription.

North American Construction Group has been navigating through the trials and tribulations of the previous year, and with these challenges now behind them, the company appears to be on a more stable footing. The reaffirmed Strong Buy rating and maintained price target reflect confidence in the company’s ongoing projects and future prospects.

Investors initially reacted to the fourth quarter results with concern, but the clarification from Raymond James has provided a more accurate picture of North American Construction Group’s performance and trajectory. With the market’s understanding realigned, the company’s stock is now seen as having a promising risk-reward balance for those considering investment opportunities.

In other recent news, North American Energy Partners Inc . (NYSE:NOA) reported its fourth-quarter 2024 earnings, missing both earnings per share (EPS) and revenue expectations. The company posted an EPS of $0.19, which was significantly below the anticipated $0.9894. Revenue also fell short, reaching $305.59 million compared to the forecasted $310.83 million. Despite these challenges, NOA achieved record annual revenue, largely due to strong growth in its Australian operations. The company plans to increase its infrastructure business to 25% by 2025, reflecting a strategic focus on diversification. Analysts from Canaccord Genuity and TD Cowen discussed the company’s future outlook, with particular attention to equipment utilization and potential asset transfers from Canada to Australia. NOA projects combined revenue for 2025 to be between $1.4 billion and $1.6 billion, with adjusted EBITDA expected to range from $415 million to $445 million. The company continues to focus on expanding its operations and improving profitability, especially in its Australian segment.

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