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On Monday, Raymond (NSE:RYMD) James initiated coverage on Lionsgate Studios Corp (NASDAQ: LION) with an Outperform rating and a price target of $10.00, representing significant upside from the current price of $6.79. The firm highlighted the company’s unique position as the only standalone public film and TV studio following its complete separation from Starz Entertainment. This distinction sets Lionsgate apart from many media stocks, which suffer from exposure to the declining linear TV ecosystem. According to InvestingPro data, analyst consensus remains bullish, with price targets ranging from $8.50 to $13.00.
Despite a challenging fiscal year 2025, ending in March 2025, marked by box office disappointments, notably the film "Borderlands," and underperformance in TV business due to strikes and a reduction in industry spending on TV content, Raymond James sees an opportunity. The analyst believes that the current stock price reflects these setbacks, presenting an attractive entry point for investors. InvestingPro data shows the company generated $3.87 billion in revenue over the last twelve months, though it currently operates with significant debt, with a total debt to capital ratio of 0.71.
Looking ahead, Lionsgate is expected to have a stronger lineup in the near term, which Raymond James predicts will drive significant revenue growth and operating income before depreciation and amortization (OIBDA), particularly when compared to the weaker performance in FY2025. The firm points out that approximately half of the Motion Picture segment’s revenue and about 30% of the total company’s revenues come from an existing content library. This, along with pre-sales of international rights, is seen as a way for Lionsgate to reduce financial risk and generate more predictable cash flow.
Raymond James also speculates that Lionsgate could become a prime target for acquisition by larger entities in Big Tech or Media, given its lack of complications from any attached linear and streaming businesses. The analysis concludes that the combination of potential standalone success and the possibility of an M&A makes the current moment an opportune time for investing in Lionsgate shares.
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