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RBC analyst bullish on Pactiv Evergreen's execution, bumps stock PT to $14

Published 13/11/2024, 18:34
PTVE
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On Wednesday, RBC Capital Markets updated its financial outlook for Pactiv Evergreen (NASDAQ: PTVE), increasing the price target to $14.00, up from the previous target of $13.00. The firm continues to endorse an Outperform rating for the company's stock. The adjustment follows Pactiv Evergreen's reported efforts in executing portfolio actions and the anticipated continuation of cost benefits through the end of the year.

Despite observing relatively weak Food/Beverage Merchandise volumes in the quarter, RBC Capital Markets anticipates a significant increase in the fourth quarter due to delayed items and improving run-rate cost benefits. The firm's stance on Pactiv Evergreen remains positive, citing the company's execution prowess, operational excellence, and an improving margin profile, even in the face of end-market challenges.

RBC Capital Markets has revised its estimates for Pactiv Evergreen's fourth-quarter and full-year 2024 EBITDA to $235 million and $800 million, respectively, up from the prior estimates of $219 million and $795 million. However, the forecast for the full-year 2025 EBITDA remains unchanged at $850 million.

The new price target is based on a 4x multiple of the company's estimated 2025 year-end leverage, which marks a decrease from the previously used multiple of 4.25x.

The firm's analysis indicates confidence in Pactiv Evergreen's strategic initiatives and its ability to navigate through current market weaknesses. The stock's new price target reflects these expectations and the company's potential for sustained financial performance moving forward.

In other recent news, Pactiv Evergreen has reported strong Q3 2024 results, with revenues reaching $1.3 billion and adjusted EBITDA at $214 million. The company also announced adjusted earnings per share of $0.36 and a healthy free cash flow of $190 million.

An important development was the completion of the sale of its mill operations, a move towards a more capital-efficient business model focusing on its core North American converting operations.

This shift is expected to enhance Pactiv Evergreen's profitability and reduce earnings volatility. Despite a decrease in consumer foot traffic and inflationary pressures, the company's strategic initiatives are expected to drive growth. Pactiv Evergreen anticipates a net leverage ratio of approximately 4 times by year-end and has updated its full-year adjusted EBITDA guidance to $800 million to $810 million.

The company has lowered its capital spending guidance for 2024 to $240 million to $250 million. Despite some challenges such as a 3% decrease in restaurant foot traffic and higher material costs leading to a 6% year-over-year decrease in adjusted EBITDA, Pactiv Evergreen remains optimistic about its growth potential, especially in the Food & Beverage Merchandising market.

These are the recent developments in Pactiv Evergreen's business strategy and financial performance.

InvestingPro Insights

To complement RBC Capital Markets' optimistic outlook on Pactiv Evergreen (NASDAQ: PTVE), recent data from InvestingPro offers additional context for investors. The company's market capitalization stands at $2.07 billion, with a P/E ratio (adjusted) of 13.14 for the last twelve months as of Q2 2024. This relatively low P/E ratio aligns with one of the InvestingPro Tips, which suggests that PTVE is "trading at a low P/E ratio relative to near-term earnings growth."

InvestingPro Tips also highlight that Pactiv Evergreen has shown a "strong return over the last three months," which is corroborated by the impressive 19.77% price total return over that period. This performance supports RBC's positive stance on the company's execution and operational excellence.

Furthermore, the InvestingPro data reveals a dividend yield of 3.47%, which may appeal to income-focused investors. This, coupled with the InvestingPro Tip indicating "high shareholder yield," suggests that Pactiv Evergreen is committed to returning value to shareholders, even as it navigates market challenges and implements strategic initiatives.

For readers interested in a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 7 additional tips for Pactiv Evergreen, providing a deeper understanding of the company's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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