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On Thursday, RBC Capital Markets revised its price target for VAT Group AG (SIX:VACN:SW), a leading supplier of vacuum valves, to CHF350 from the previous CHF370. Despite the adjustment, the firm maintained its Sector Perform rating on the stock.
VAT Group released its full-year 2024 results on Wednesday, March 5, 2025, which showed a strong performance in the second half of the year. The results followed preliminary figures that were shared on January 9, 2025. RBC Capital’s analyst Sebastian Kuenne noted the company’s earnings strength in the latter half of 2024, while also acknowledging the tempered expectations for the wafer fabrication equipment (WFE) market growth, now anticipated at 4% for the current year, a significant reduction from the previously estimated 23%.
Despite the lower growth forecast for the WFE market, Kuenne believes that VAT Group is positioned to achieve a 20-25% year-over-year revenue growth for the fiscal year 2025, based on the company’s first-quarter guidance. However, the RBC Capital analyst adjusted the margin estimates slightly downward, taking into account a negative product mix and increased capital expenditures. This has led to a 3-5% reduction in earnings estimates.
The new price target of CHF350 is supported by a discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis and a comparison with industry peers. While the target has been reduced, RBC Capital’s Sector Perform rating indicates that the firm’s outlook on VAT Group’s stock remains neutral, suggesting that the company’s stock is expected to perform in line with the expectations for the overall sector.
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