RBC Capital raises Ferguson stock price target to $231 from $189

Published 04/06/2025, 15:04
RBC Capital raises Ferguson stock price target to $231 from $189

On Wednesday, RBC Capital analysts raised the price target for Ferguson Plc stock, listed on the New York Stock Exchange as (NYSE:FERG), from $189 to $231. The analysts maintained their Outperform rating on the stock, highlighting the company’s recent financial performance and future prospects. The stock, currently trading at $213.72 with a market capitalization of $42.5 billion, has shown remarkable momentum with a 15.8% return in the past week alone, though InvestingPro analysis suggests the stock is trading above its Fair Value.

The analysts noted Ferguson’s strong third-quarter results and expressed optimism about its performance in the upcoming fourth quarter. They pointed out that Ferguson’s ability to maintain price discipline and achieve a rebound in gross margin percentage was a significant positive factor. The company’s balanced end-market mix, which includes robust infrastructure and non-residential growth, is expected to support volume resilience despite moderating residential demand.

RBC Capital’s updated fiscal year 2025 adjusted operating profit estimate for Ferguson has increased by 7% to $2.72 billion, aligning with the company’s new guidance range of $2.54 billion to $2.83 billion. The analysts also raised their fiscal year 2026 estimates by 9%, anticipating stronger pricing and gross margin percentages, as well as increased operational expense savings.

The analysts believe that Ferguson’s performance and strategic initiatives should bolster its market position and enhance its status as a quality, defensive investment option.

In other recent news, Ferguson PLC announced its third-quarter earnings for 2025, reporting earnings per share of $2.50, slightly below the analyst forecast of $2.61. The company’s revenue reached $7.62 billion, falling short of the projected $7.79 billion. Despite these misses, Ferguson’s stock showed a notable pre-market increase, indicating investor confidence in the company’s strategic direction. Truist Securities analysts responded by raising the price target for Ferguson’s stock to $240 from $200, maintaining a Buy rating, following the company’s fiscal third-quarter results that surpassed expectations in sales and EBIT margins. Ferguson’s growth was notably driven by strong performances in the HVAC and Waterworks sectors, with revenue increases of 10% and 12%, respectively. The company has also revised its full-year guidance to anticipate low to mid-single-digit revenue growth. Ferguson plans to invest between $300 million and $350 million in capital expenditures, reflecting confidence in future market improvements. The company remains optimistic about its market position, supported by strategic growth initiatives and operational efficiencies.

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