RBC Capital sets Coles stock price target at AUD22 with outperform rating

Published 05/03/2025, 06:56
RBC Capital sets Coles stock price target at AUD22 with outperform rating

On Wednesday, RBC Capital initiated coverage on Coles Group (OTC:CLEGF) Ltd. (COL:AU) (OTC: CLEGF), bestowing an Outperform rating and setting a price target of AUD22.00 per share. The firm’s analysts highlighted Coles’ significant market presence, extensive supplier network, and vertical integration as key factors in their positive outlook. According to InvestingPro data, Coles commands a substantial market capitalization of $15.8 billion and has demonstrated its commitment to shareholder returns by raising dividends for six consecutive years.

Coles Group’s strategy of concentrating on core supermarkets, while diligently managing expenses and capital expenditures, was recognized as a competitive advantage in an industry where consumers are increasingly seeking value. RBC Capital anticipates that this approach will position Coles to gain market share and enhance cost efficiencies. The strategy appears to be working, with InvestingPro showing revenue growth of 6% in the last twelve months and an overall financial health score of GOOD.

The analysts noted that the price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio discount of Coles compared to its competitor Woolworths (WOW) has narrowed to approximately 7%, a reduction from the historical range of 15%-20%. Currently trading at a P/E ratio of 22.9x, the stock appears fairly valued according to InvestingPro Fair Value estimates. RBC Capital projects that Coles will experience higher like-for-like (LFL) sales growth, earnings per share (EPS) growth, and free cash flow (FCF) yield, along with reduced capital intensity and leverage in comparison to Woolworths over the medium term. These projections support the rationale for a premium multiple relative to historical averages.

The RBC Capital team’s coverage initiation on Coles comes at a time when the retail sector is under close scrutiny for its ability to adapt to changing consumer behaviors and economic pressures. As a prominent player in the Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail industry, Coles’ focus on maintaining a lean operation while expanding its market share appears to be a strategy that RBC Capital believes will pay dividends for the company moving forward. The stock’s historically low volatility, as highlighted by InvestingPro, suggests it could offer stability in uncertain market conditions. Subscribers can access 5 additional ProTips and comprehensive financial metrics to better evaluate Coles’ investment potential.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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