RBC maintains Outperform on Canadian Natural Resources stock

Published 27/03/2025, 16:38
RBC maintains Outperform on Canadian Natural Resources stock

On Thursday, RBC Capital maintained a positive stance on Canadian Natural Resources (TSX:CNQ:CN) (NYSE: CNQ), with analysts reiterating an Outperform rating and a price target of Cdn$63.00. The firm’s analysts cited several factors underpinning their favorable view, including the company’s effective management team, consistent alignment with shareholder interests, and its ability to generate free cash flow across various market cycles. According to InvestingPro data, the company maintains a "GOOD" Financial Health score, with three analysts recently revising their earnings expectations upward for the upcoming period.

The analysts highlighted Canadian Natural Resources’ industry-leading operational performance and its track record of delivering substantial returns to shareholders. The company has maintained dividend payments for 25 consecutive years, currently offering a 5.2% yield. RBC Capital regards CNQ as their top pick among senior producers in Canada, referring to it as a "Global Energy Best Idea." InvestingPro analysis suggests the stock is currently undervalued, with additional insights available in the comprehensive Pro Research Report.

In their commentary, the analysts noted the company’s low-cost structure and agility in capital allocation adjustments as key elements of its financial resilience. This adaptability is seen as a crucial asset, allowing Canadian Natural Resources to withstand a range of external economic shocks. The company’s financial strength is reflected in its moderate debt levels and impressive 49.3% gross profit margin, as reported by InvestingPro.

The Outperform rating is a signal that RBC Capital expects Canadian Natural Resources’ stock to perform better than the average return of the stocks the analysts cover over the next 12 months. The reaffirmed price target of Cdn$63.00 reflects the firm’s confidence in the stock’s potential for growth.

The company’s strategic approach to managing its finances and operations, particularly in the face of external challenges, has been recognized as a cornerstone of its success. The ability to reallocate and adjust capital, depending on market conditions, was emphasized as a testament to Canadian Natural Resources’ robust financial health and strategic foresight.

In other recent news, Canadian Natural Resources Limited reported strong financial results for the fourth quarter of 2024, with an annual adjusted funds flow of $14.9 billion and a return of approximately $7.1 billion to shareholders. The company achieved record production levels, producing over 1 million barrels of liquids daily, and noted that its capital program came in under budget by about $100 million. Meanwhile, Evercore ISI upgraded Canadian Natural Resources’ stock rating to Outperform, emphasizing the company’s consistent management and diversified portfolio as key strengths. Analyst Stephen Richardson of Evercore ISI highlighted the company’s resilience and potential for shareholder returns, projecting a 13% free cash flow yield based on their commodity outlook.

The company is also planning to expand its Jack Pine mine, potentially increasing production by 100,000 barrels per day. Canadian Natural Resources has been exploring additional debottlenecking opportunities to maintain flexibility in its capital allocation strategy. Despite concerns about tariffs on Canadian energy imports, analysts believe these are already factored into the company’s estimates. Additionally, Canadian Natural Resources achieved significant operational efficiency, with a production rate of 472,245 barrels per day in oil sands mining and upgrading. The company’s liquidity at the end of the quarter stood at $4.7 billion, reflecting its strong financial position.

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